GA-Landmark: Trump +2

[HillOfANight]

https://twitter.com/LoriGearyWSB/status/794532025038499840
http://media.beta.wsbtv.com/document_dev/2016/11/04/Statewide%20Poll%20Nov%203rd%20.xls_6522500_ver1.0.pdf

Trump 48 (47)
Clinton 46 (43)
Johnson 4 (4)
Undecided 2 (5)

[Dr. Arch]

Looks like the race has bounced back to pre-Comey levels.

[Buzz]

Trump will win by at least 5 on election day

[Speed of Sound]

Second in a row to show it closer, but T+2 doesn't look possible right now. Probably T+4-5.

[HillOfANight]

The polls show the white vote is definitely fracturing to Johnson. The big question is whether the electorate will be diverse enough, and early voting doesn't look encouraging.

It looks like Clinton gained most of the undecideds from the last poll btw.

[Lief 🗽]

Damn.  If not for the Comey thing she might have won here.

[bilaps]

Second in a row to show it closer, but T+2 doesn't look possible right now. Probably T+4-5.

yeah, if georgia is really this close someone out of 100 clinton surrogates would be there for sure. polls are missing something, probably black turnout percentage or third party candidates overestemating. but how long will georgia stay red after this election is good question.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

"B" pollster.

Trump+4 in their last poll conducted during   OCT. 20

[F_S_USATN]

Just the fact that people have to say safe R this late on GA probably says something about NC and to a lesser extent VA

[ApatheticAustrian]

sleeping state ...like some analysts said...if NC votes dem again, GA switches 2020.

[RJEvans]

sleeping state ...like some analysts said...if NC votes dem again, GA switches 2020.

Followed by SC in 2024 and MS in 2028. Give or take 4 years.

[rafta_rafta]

PURPLE in 2024!!!

[MasterJedi]

Damn.  If not for the Comey thing she might have won here.

Still a chance, though unlikely, depends on how much she wins by in the end.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Damn.  If not for the Comey thing she might have won here.

Still a chance, though unlikely, depends on how much she wins by in the end.

I would be shocked if GA went to Clinton at this point.

[MasterJedi]

Damn.  If not for the Comey thing she might have won here.

Still a chance, though unlikely, depends on how much she wins by in the end.

I would be shocked if GA went to Clinton at this point.

I don't think she wins but there still is a chance.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Damn.  If not for the Comey thing she might have won here.

Still a chance, though unlikely, depends on how much she wins by in the end.

I would be shocked if GA went to Clinton at this point.

I don't think she wins but there still is a chance.

I've thought all along and still think that GA will be close (margin less than 3 points), but I don't think it's ever been better (for Clinton) than a coin flip, and that was at the low point of Trump's campaign.

[Sir Mohamed]

GA is not likely to flip at this point. Even not if Hillary bounces back to levels before the fake-scandal. The most likely 2012 red state to flip besides NC is AZ.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

GA is not likely to flip at this point. Even not if Hillary bounces back to levels before the fake-scandal. The most likely 2012 red state to flip besides NC is AZ.

^^^

There are not-too-outlandish scenarios in which AZ could decide the election for Hillary.

[Maxwell]

Make America Great Again with Hillary Clinton!

I want to see the crosstabs for this though - is there the expectation that blacks are going to vote on election day or what is it?

[Xing]

I doubt she carries GA, but I wouldn't be so sure about it being lopsided. Also, if GA is this tight, Hillary's got NC.

[HillOfANight]

Damn.  If not for the Comey thing she might have won here.

Still a chance, though unlikely, depends on how much she wins by in the end.

I would be shocked if GA went to Clinton at this point.

I don't think she wins but there still is a chance.

I've thought all along and still think that GA will be close (margin less than 3 points), but I don't think it's ever been better (for Clinton) than a coin flip, and that was at the low point of Trump's campaign.

http://www.wsbtv.com/news/politics/poll-trump-barely-ahead-of-clinton-in-georgia/464103996
Crosstabs are up and they look pretty good for Clinton. Hillary getting relatively strong white support.

White (63.7%)
Trump 66
Clinton 27
Johnson 5
Undecided 2

Black (29.9%)
Trump 12
Clinton 85
Johnson 2
Undecided 2

[dspNY]

Damn.  If not for the Comey thing she might have won here.

Still a chance, though unlikely, depends on how much she wins by in the end.

I would be shocked if GA went to Clinton at this point.

I don't think she wins but there still is a chance.

I've thought all along and still think that GA will be close (margin less than 3 points), but I don't think it's ever been better (for Clinton) than a coin flip, and that was at the low point of Trump's campaign.

http://www.wsbtv.com/news/politics/poll-trump-barely-ahead-of-clinton-in-georgia/464103996
Crosstabs are up and they look pretty good for Clinton. Hillary getting relatively strong white support.

White (63.7%)
Trump 66
Clinton 27
Johnson 5
Undecided 2

Black (29.9%)
Trump 12
Clinton 85
Johnson 2
Undecided 2

Trump's not getting 12% of African-Americans. Not a chance

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Hillary is not getting 27% of White Americans. Not a chance. Johnson will get more % than she will.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Hillary is not getting 27% of White Americans. Not a chance. Johnson will get more % than she will.

Lyndon Johnson probably would have.  Gary Johnson, no.

[Hammy]

Damn.  If not for the Comey thing she might have won here.

Doubtful--she's probably just regaining the people that wavered in the polls following last Friday's announcement.