Er, the comments in this thread aren't exactly consistent with the ones in the Gravis FL thread. Gravis is sh**t regardless of whether its numbers look plausible or not - I thought this was a long-standing forum consensus?
Yes, but with an asterisk--hurricane tracking is my primary hobby, and sometimes there are forecast models with an awful history that tend to be outliers, sometimes by hundreds of miles. But sometimes, the models line up with the consensus and just happen to be lucky--it's entirely possible the situation with the Gravis Florida poll is this--given that it lines up with three other polls taken in the last two days.
