Is Trump the type of GOP candidate that does well in NH?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 19, 2024, 11:20:34 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Is Trump the type of GOP candidate that does well in NH?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Is Trump the type of GOP candidate that does well in NH?  (Read 520 times)
win win
dxu8888
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 855


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 03, 2016, 01:17:27 PM »
My impression is NH always preferred the wealthy, Romney-esque candidate. So why is Trump suddenly doing so well there?

Boston Globe/Suffolk   10/31 - 11/2        Tie
ARG   10/31 - 11/2                           Trump +5
WBUR/MassINC   10/29 - 11/1      Trump +1
Logged
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,763
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2016, 01:18:15 PM »
Your impression is poor. Trump is the perfect fit. But he's running against a woman.
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2016, 01:22:01 PM »
Quote from: Sprouts Farmers Market ✘ on November 03, 2016, 01:18:15 PM
Your impression is poor. Trump is the perfect fit. But he's running against a woman.
Logged
Ljube
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,052
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2016, 01:22:57 PM »
Logged
izixs
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,276
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.31, S: -6.51

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2016, 01:27:54 PM »
NH's voting blocks include a substantial number of libertarians who are skeptical of the government in general and Republicans who left Boston to get lower taxes. Both sorts of folks are his people.
Logged
Figueira
84285
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,175


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2016, 01:33:10 PM »
Maybe, but so were McCain and Romney.
Logged
ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2016, 01:36:24 PM »
isn't NH another highly educated state?
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,817
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2016, 02:34:33 PM »
Quote from: TN Volunteer on November 03, 2016, 01:37:20 PM
ROFLMFAO no (then again, there is no Republican candidate who would do well in NH). His opponent on the other hand basically embodies the state.

Well, I think a Kasich/Haley ticket would have a decent shot if Hillary continues to have bad press. Trump? Most likely not.
Logged
Hammy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,708
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2016, 02:39:48 PM »
Quote from: TN Volunteer on November 03, 2016, 01:37:20 PM
ROFLMFAO no (then again, there is no Republican candidate who would do well in NH). His opponent on the other hand basically embodies the state.

We have a more reputable poll now showing a tie, so NH is now 100% in play.
Logged
Ricky1121
Rookie
**
Posts: 74
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2016, 02:58:54 PM »
Quote from: TN Volunteer on November 03, 2016, 01:37:20 PM
ROFLMFAO no (then again, there is no Republican candidate who would do well in NH). His opponent on the other hand basically embodies the state.

Really? Because RCP has the state as a toss-up right now, and 538 has Trump at I believe 37.9% there (which is good for 538 standards), so I think the state is in play. Plus, the polls are really close with Trump either a couple points behind or even ahead...
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2016, 03:02:06 PM »
He's going to lose NH rather badly. The non-NH pollsters that have polled the state have no shown it close at all.
Logged
Ricky1121
Rookie
**
Posts: 74
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2016, 03:04:00 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on November 03, 2016, 03:02:06 PM
He's going to lose NH rather badly. The non-NH pollsters that have polled the state have no shown it close at all.

Wouldn't polls conducted IN the particular state have a decent reputation?
Logged
Hammy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,708
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2016, 03:08:04 PM »
Quote from: Ricky1121 on November 03, 2016, 03:04:00 PM
Quote from: Ebsy on November 03, 2016, 03:02:06 PM
He's going to lose NH rather badly. The non-NH pollsters that have polled the state have no shown it close at all.

Wouldn't polls conducted IN the particular state have a decent reputation?

I assume the reasoning here is that larger out-of-state pollsters would potentially have more money and thus better analysts.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.217 seconds with 13 queries.