UT - Monmouth: Trump +6
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 03:54:46 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  UT - Monmouth: Trump +6
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: UT - Monmouth: Trump +6  (Read 5130 times)
Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,166
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 03, 2016, 12:02:25 PM »
« edited: November 03, 2016, 12:05:40 PM by Speed of Sound »

Among 402 LVs, Oct. 30-Nov. 2:

Trump 37 (+3 since early October)
Clinton 31 (+3)
McMullin 24 (+4)
Johnson 4
Stein 1

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_UT_110316/
Logged
Ozymandias
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 470


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2016, 12:02:34 PM »

New Utah poll from Monmouth:

Trump: 37%
Clinton: 31%
McMullin: 24%
Johnson: 4%

https://twitter.com/Bencjacobs/status/794222617377046528
Logged
Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,502
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2016, 12:03:08 PM »

2nd poll in a row to show McMullin in 3rd in UT, RIP :/
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,876


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2016, 12:03:27 PM »

RIP MCMUFFIN Cry
Logged
Buzz
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,186


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2016, 12:03:54 PM »

Thank you Utah!
Logged
Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,502
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2016, 12:03:59 PM »

2nd poll in a row to show McMullin in 3rd in UT, RIP Sad
Logged
ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2016, 12:06:57 PM »

clinton over 30?

madness.
Logged
adrac
adracman42
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 722


Political Matrix
E: -9.99, S: -9.99

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2016, 12:09:35 PM »

Tumbling down, tumbling down...
Logged
Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,628


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2016, 12:11:36 PM »

Logged
Senator Cris
Cris
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,613
Italy


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2016, 12:12:10 PM »

Sad
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2016, 12:46:34 PM »

Support by party:

Dems
Clinton 86%
Johnson 6%
McMullin 5%
Trump 2%
Stein 0%

GOP
Trump 56%
McMullin 34%
Clinton 4%
Johnson 2%
Stein 0%

Indies
Trump 34%
Clinton 32%
McMullin 24%
Johnson 5%
Stein 1%

By religion:

Mormon:
Trump 43%
McMullin 37%
Clinton 14%
Johnson 2%
Stein 0%

non-Mormon:
Clinton 54%
Trump 29%
Johnson 7%
McMullin 7%
Stein 1%

other demos:
men: Trump +12 over Clinton
women: Clinton +1 over Trump
age 18-49: Trump +3 over McMullin
age 50+: Trump +3 over Clinton
no college degree: Trump +14 over Clinton
college degree: Clinton +1 over McMullin/Trump

McMullin’s base seems to be Mormons under 50 with a college degree.
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2016, 12:49:18 PM »
« Edited: November 03, 2016, 12:51:00 PM by Mr. Morden »

fav/unfav %:
McMullin 36/16% for +20%
Clinton 23/66% for -43%
Trump 22/67% for -45%

So we still have a whopping 48% of Utah voters with no opinion of McMullin.  He does have net positive favorable %s among every demographic group though.  Even Democrats.
Logged
Cashew
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,559
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2016, 01:00:29 PM »

Logged
ElectionAtlas
Atlas Proginator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,628
United States


P P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2016, 02:40:08 PM »

New Poll: Utah President by Monmouth University on 2016-11-02

Summary: D: 31%, R: 37%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Zioneer
PioneerProgress
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,451
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 03, 2016, 03:34:39 PM »

I'm waiting on local pollsters like Dan Jones to release a poll before I mourn McMullin's McMomentuem falling away.
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,716


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 03, 2016, 03:46:22 PM »

Seems like the robocalls really did a number to McMullin. Sad
Logged
Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,696
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: November 03, 2016, 05:29:38 PM »

Isn't Monmouth the one that hid third parties under "other" the last time they pulled Utah?

Edit: Regardless, they didn't this time. That's good of them.
Logged
Middle-aged Europe
Old Europe
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,178
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: November 03, 2016, 05:31:16 PM »

So, no President McMullin then.
Logged
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,417
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: November 03, 2016, 05:40:22 PM »


Well Obama did get 34% of the vote in 2008, so not totally shocked to see Clinton bringing many of those voters back.... Obviously we can't compare 2012 to either 2008 or 2016, because of the historic nature of the Romney candidacy with a community that has faced long and deep-standing religious discrimination in America, so I would look at 2008 as more of a potential Clinton ceiling in Utah.

If Clinton can hold that number and McMullen adds a few more points from Trump, then suddenly Utah numbers look really interesting.

Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,963
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: November 04, 2016, 12:21:06 AM »

Seems like McMuffin's chances are slipping away. Shame. Sad
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,072
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: November 04, 2016, 12:35:53 AM »

Seems like McMuffin's chances are slipping away. Shame. Sad

This was inevitable as soon as it was discovered that just maybe Hillary would get the state if McMullin was given more slack.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,963
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: November 04, 2016, 12:52:06 AM »

Seems like McMuffin's chances are slipping away. Shame. Sad

This was inevitable as soon as it was discovered that just maybe Hillary would get the state if McMullin was given more slack.


That's a pretty ridiculous assumption for people to make, since she actually was polling in third in the polls that had McMuffin competitive. There are quite a few McMuffin voters who will actually come back to her if he collapses.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.053 seconds with 14 queries.