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November 25, 2020, 11:46:16 AM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

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  2016 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  Quinnipiac: Rubio +6, Ross +4, Portman +18 and McGinty +1
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac: Rubio +6, Ross +4, Portman +18 and McGinty +1  (Read 2830 times)
Fargobison
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« on: November 03, 2016, 11:07:15 AM »
« edited: November 03, 2016, 11:09:32 AM by Fargobison »

FLORIDA: Rubio 50 - Murphy 44
NORTH CAROLINA: Ross 49 - Burr 45
OHIO: Portman 56 - Strickland 38
PENNSYLVANIA: McGinty 48 - Toomey 47

https://poll.qu.edu/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2400
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Bismarck
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2016, 11:09:05 AM »

Seems reasonable although I think Burr will pull it out. If Quinnipiac has Toomey down, he's probably a goner.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2016, 11:10:08 AM »

Unless Quinnipiac got a weird sample, this might be backlash against Burr for joking about assassinating Clinton.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2016, 11:11:36 AM »

Wow, great news all around.
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Lincoln Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2016, 11:14:33 AM »

NC is Junk.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2016, 11:16:30 AM »

Agree.
Unless Quinnipiac got a weird sample, this might be backlash against Burr for joking about assassinating Clinton.
That's not what he said. He said he was surprised that the gun magazine people didn't put a bullseye on her face on her picture. That's different.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2016, 11:41:11 AM »

Go Ross!
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2016, 12:04:06 PM »

lol@NC
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2016, 12:12:58 PM »

Lol @ posters lol'ing at the NC results
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Ebsy
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« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2016, 01:53:38 PM »

Good numbers.
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2016, 01:59:24 PM »

Still Quinnijunk
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2016, 02:50:03 PM »

New Poll: Florida Senator by Quinnipiac University on 2016-11-01

Summary: D: 44%, R: 50%, I: 1%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2016, 02:50:59 PM »

New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Quinnipiac University on 2016-11-01

Summary: D: 49%, R: 45%, I: 1%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2016, 02:52:03 PM »

New Poll: Ohio Senator by Quinnipiac University on 2016-11-01

Summary: D: 38%, R: 56%, I: 0%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #14 on: November 03, 2016, 02:52:58 PM »

New Poll: Pennsylvania Senator by Quinnipiac University on 2016-11-01

Summary: D: 48%, R: 47%, I: 1%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Xing
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« Reply #15 on: November 03, 2016, 06:34:30 PM »

Why are people so quick to call any poll showing Burr behind junk? Is it really that hard to imagine him losing? I doubt he'll lose by 4, but I don't think the polls showing him up 6 are more accurate.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #16 on: November 03, 2016, 08:22:39 PM »

North Carolina (Cries)
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DavidB.
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« Reply #17 on: November 03, 2016, 10:15:55 PM »

Yes, this is not good and I fear it has to do something with his ill-advised comments on Hillary Clinton. It would be a real shame if that would push far-leftist Ross over the finish line.
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Cosmopolitanism Will Win
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« Reply #18 on: November 04, 2016, 01:43:53 AM »

I really hope those NC numbers are close to mark... But of course it's just one poll and it's Quinnipiac.
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Thank you for the memories, Atlas
SunriseAroundTheWorld
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« Reply #19 on: November 04, 2016, 03:07:53 AM »

I'm confident that Richard Burr will emerge the winner on election night - Republicans who are questioning his campaigning abilities and his ability to win need to stay composed.

It's important to remember that Burr won a tightly contested race in 2004, one of the most expensive in the country at that time, against Erskine Bowles, 51% to 47%.

In 2010, he won by nearly 12% against a popular democrat figure, Sec. of State Elaine Marshall (who, in the 1990s,  stunned politicos by beating NASCAR legend Richard Petty in a competitive race and also went on to win re-election 2012 fairly easily despite losing by 12% to Burr).

Also, Ross is in fact too liberal from NC. The Old North State does seem to be trending to the dems, but it is no where near loving ACLU leftists like Ross. It prefers democrats like Kay Hagan, and Roy Cooper and Elaine Marshall  - all of who are moderately liberal, with a pragmatic streak (and a noticeably present southern charm).

Also, Burr is hardly an extremist senator. He voted in favor of federaling funding for embryonic stem cell research and also supporting repealing Don't Ask, Don't Tell. His comments about Hillary are unfortunate, but this is not a Senator known for controversy.

I'll admit that Burr could  lose, and lose by 2-3%, for the following reasons:
- Burr is not as sharp as he was in 2010 and 2004.
- Burr won big in 2010 - a heavily GOP year and in 2004 - also a GOP year - and thus has never faced an election climate that is overly hostile to the GOP.
- Burr has been a king of fundraising throughout his career but, noticeably, has not done as well in '16 as he had in the past.
- Like Kay Hagan in 2008, Deborah Ross came out of nowhere and is an outsider (especially compared to Burr, whose been in Washington longer than many of our posters have been alive) and has a lot of upswing on her side.
- Burr, despite being around since the 1990's (1995-2005 in the House; 2005-Current in Sen) is a virtual unknown in the state, which is not a positive this late in the campaign.

That being said, I still think he will win.
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