Quinnipiac polls: C+1 FL, C+3 NC, C+5 PA, T+5 OH

[Middle-aged Europe]

EARLY VOTING:

"Hillary Clinton is ahead 48 - 42 percent among Florida voters who already have cast ballots."

"North Carolina early voters back Clinton 58 - 36 percent."

"Ohio early voters back Clinton 58 - 32 percent."

[Ozymandias]

Any senate polls for these states?

Not that I saw-- IIRC, Quinnipiac typically releases Senate numbers the day after Presidential results.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

In line with Clinton +3-4 nationally

[Ronnie]

Seems like Ohio is lost for Clinton.  Oh well.  Otherwise, I'm pleased with these numbers.

[Ozymandias]

HEAD-TO-HEAD

FL: Clinton 47 - Trump 45
NC: Clinton 48 - Trump 46
OH: Trump 47 - Clinton 44
PA: Clinton 50 - Trump 44

[Eraserhead]

Johnson's support is disappearing. It's starting to look like Stein may beat him in a few of these states.

[adrac]

HEAD-TO-HEAD

FL: Clinton 47 - Trump 45
NC: Clinton 48 - Trump 46
OH: Trump 47 - Clinton 44
PA: Clinton 50 - Trump 44

50 in PA means game over.

[Shadows]

The crazy Super pac trolls love the polls when it has Clinton leading but say X can't poll state Y if Clinton.

Ohio is out but otherwise the numbers hold good for Clinton. Florida is a toss-up but NC Is pretty damn good, outperforming Obama & PA is holding steady!

Head to Head Numbers are for stupid people - Because Johnson & Stein are getting votes!

The collapse of Johnson is funny - Looks like Stein may end up getting more votes than Clinton!

[Xing]

The head to head numbers are probably the ones to look at, since third party candidates are largely irrelevant, by this point (except maybe in Utah.) I'll take a slight deficit in Ohio for Clinton being up in two must-win states for Trump, and comfortably ahead in PA.

[StatesPoll]

Quinnipiac NC Poll (10/27-11/1)
https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/ps/snc11022016_demos_Sbyf37m.pdf/
Total 602 LV samples.  Early voters 44%.
602 LV X 44% = 264.88 LV (Already voted)


265 LV = very massive samples to figure out 2 Million votes(already voted in NC)

[Ozymandias]

Here's more detail on early voting:

Quinnipiac poll: https://poll.qu.edu/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2399

FLORIDA: Of the 42% (263/626) of Early Voters, Clinton is ahead 48-42 percent (5.6% MOE).

NORTH CAROLINA: Of the 44% (265/602) of Early Voters, Clinton is ahead 58-36 percent (6.0% MOE).

OHIO: Of the 27% (159/589) of Early Voters, Clinton is ahead 58-33 percent (7.5% MOE).

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Here's more detail on early voting:

Quinnipiac poll: https://poll.qu.edu/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2399

FLORIDA: Of the 42% (263/626) of Early Voters, Clinton is ahead 48-42 percent (5.6% MOE).

NORTH CAROLINA: Of the 44% (265/602) of Early Voters, Clinton is ahead 58-36 percent (6.0% MOE).

OHIO: Of the 27% (159/589) of Early Voters, Clinton is ahead 58-33 percent (7.5% MOE).

YOWZA!  Tremendous!

[mark_twain]

Great poll!

[Maxwell]

Called it - North Carolina's white voter gap (59-33 Trump) is significantly lower than it was in 2012 (68-32).

Not great for Clinton -

Favorable ratings pretty much explain the race in states that are not named North Carolina:

Clinton Favorables: 44-54 in Florida, 41-54 in NC, 37-59 in OH (ouch), 41-56 in PA
Trump Favorables: 40-57 in Florida, 40-53 in NC, 39-56 in OH, 37-60 in PA (ouch)

[bilaps]

Ok, so lot of pollin today.

I am guessing, my feeling only

PA C +4
OH T + 5
FL C+1
NC C+1
NV C+1
CO C+3
MI,WI and VA C+5
NH C+6
ME C+7
ME-2 T+1
IA T+7
GA T+10
AZ T+6
NM C+6

[Baki]

I'll take it.

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Florida President by Quinnipiac University on 2016-11-01

Summary: D: 46%, R: 45%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[heatcharger]

Confirms that the SUSA poll was junk.

Any senate polls for these states?

Coming tomorrow at 12.

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: North Carolina President by Quinnipiac University on 2016-11-01

Summary: D: 47%, R: 44%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Called it - North Carolina's white voter gap (59-33 Trump) is significantly lower than it was in 2012 (68-32).

Not great for Clinton -

Favorable ratings pretty much explain the race in states that are not named North Carolina:

Clinton Favorables: 44-54 in Florida, 41-54 in NC, 37-59 in OH (ouch), 41-56 in PA
Trump Favorables: 40-57 in Florida, 40-53 in NC, 39-56 in OH, 37-60 in PA (ouch)

Why would Trumpy winning crackers by a lot less mean bad things for Our Dear Hillary?

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Ohio President by Quinnipiac University on 2016-11-01

Summary: D: 41%, R: 46%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Pennsylvania President by Quinnipiac University on 2016-11-01

Summary: D: 48%, R: 43%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Maxwell]

Called it - North Carolina's white voter gap (59-33 Trump) is significantly lower than it was in 2012 (68-32).

Not great for Clinton -

Favorable ratings pretty much explain the race in states that are not named North Carolina:

Clinton Favorables: 44-54 in Florida, 41-54 in NC, 37-59 in OH (ouch), 41-56 in PA
Trump Favorables: 40-57 in Florida, 40-53 in NC, 39-56 in OH, 37-60 in PA (ouch)

Why would Trumpy winning crackers by a lot less mean bad things for Our Dear Hillary?

I was talking about Clinton's favorables in Ohio and just being that close in terms of favorable numbers. Her numbers with whites in North Carolina are, relatively, fantastic.

[Lachi]

Ok, so lot of pollin today.

I am guessing, my feeling only

PA C +4
OH T + 5
FL C+1
NC C+1
NV C+1
CO C+3
MI,WI and VA C+5
NH C+6
ME C+7
ME-2 T+1
IA T+7
GA T+10
AZ T+6
NM C+6

Lolno.

[bilaps]

Ok, so lot of pollin today.

I am guessing, my feeling only

PA C +4
OH T + 5
FL C+1
NC C+1
NV C+1
CO C+3
MI,WI and VA C+5
NH C+6
ME C+7
ME-2 T+1
IA T+7
GA T+10
AZ T+6
NM C+6

Lolno.

well i know what you think

every state: c+100