Wisconsin (Marquette): Feingold +1
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  Wisconsin (Marquette): Feingold +1
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Author Topic: Wisconsin (Marquette): Feingold +1  (Read 10596 times)
windjammer
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« on: November 02, 2016, 12:25:47 PM »
« edited: November 02, 2016, 12:59:15 PM by President François de la Rocque »

Feingold: 45%
Johnson: 44%
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windjammer
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2016, 12:26:36 PM »

That was Feingold +2 before
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Xing
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2016, 12:27:39 PM »

Considering that Marquette has been bearish on Feingold, this isn't as bad as it looks. Feingold should win this, though it won't be a blowout.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2016, 12:28:48 PM »

Why did this particular race end up tightening so much? Or is it not? Last minute ad buys by Democrats make me think they are at least a little worried.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2016, 12:29:45 PM »

Hmmmmm. This could get sticky.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2016, 12:33:48 PM »

Well that explains why we've started spending here again
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Kalwejt
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2016, 12:42:55 PM »

Ugh... I remember 2010 race going from safe Feingold into a R seat. I'd hate to see this repeated.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2016, 12:45:16 PM »

Ugh... I remember 2010 race going from safe Feingold into a R seat. I'd hate to see this repeated.

Wisconsin was never safe Feingold in 2010. Johnson led every poll past July, and even before that Feingold never had a large lead.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2016, 12:49:24 PM »

Ugh... I remember 2010 race going from safe Feingold into a R seat. I'd hate to see this repeated.

Wisconsin was never safe Feingold in 2010. Johnson led every poll past July, and even before that Feingold never had a large lead.

A lot of people put it at Safe Feingold for much of 2009
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Kalwejt
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« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2016, 01:01:14 PM »

Ugh... I remember 2010 race going from safe Feingold into a R seat. I'd hate to see this repeated.

Wisconsin was never safe Feingold in 2010. Johnson led every poll past July, and even before that Feingold never had a large lead.

A lot of people put it at Safe Feingold for much of 2009

That's what I was refeering to.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2016, 01:03:23 PM »

Ugh, scary.
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Figueira
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« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2016, 01:08:50 PM »

Ugh... I remember 2010 race going from safe Feingold into a R seat. I'd hate to see this repeated.

Wisconsin was never safe Feingold in 2010. Johnson led every poll past July, and even before that Feingold never had a large lead.

A lot of people put it at Safe Feingold for much of 2009

It is currently 2016, not 2015.

Anyway, this is concerning, but don't the numbers say Feingold is up 2, not 1?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2016, 01:11:37 PM »

jesus christ feingold get it together

i guess this is end all be all proof that Johnson runs great campaigns despite generally being a pretty useless Senator.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2016, 01:45:16 PM »

New Poll: Wisconsin Senator by Marquette Law School on 2016-10-31

Summary: D: 45%, R: 44%, I: 3%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2016, 02:16:11 PM »

I don't like this. I don't like this at all.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2016, 02:24:19 PM »

Called it. Johnson was never going to get Blanched in a polarized swing state like WI, like most people here predicted.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #16 on: November 02, 2016, 02:25:31 PM »

I think Feingold wins by about the same margin he lost by here. Democrats usually beat their polls by a few points in Wisconsin.

It will be funny to see Toomey lose by more than Johnson though.
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Shadows
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« Reply #17 on: November 02, 2016, 04:01:23 PM »

Can't believe what DSCC abandoned Ad buys when Kochs are pouring huge money in WI, If there's 1 guy Kochs hate after Bernie it is Feingold.

Feingold is being hammered by negative ads for weeks & DSCC is busy supporting a political hack no good Ex-republican & corrupt Pat Murphy who will 100% lost to Rubio everytime he contests in the next few decades!
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Virginiá
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« Reply #18 on: November 02, 2016, 05:54:21 PM »

Can't believe what DSCC abandoned Ad buys when Kochs are pouring huge money in WI, If there's 1 guy Kochs hate after Bernie it is Feingold.

Feingold is being hammered by negative ads for weeks & DSCC is busy supporting a political hack no good Ex-republican & corrupt Pat Murphy who will 100% lost to Rubio everytime he contests in the next few decades!

I'd hardly say they were 'busy supporting' Murphy. They gave in and sent 1 million to help him at the last minute after a lot of uproar over why they completely abandoned Murphy when the polls showed a semi-close race.

The assumption for most of this election was that Wisconsin was in the bag, and when it no longer appeared that way, the DSCC sent money over. Clinton also dropped a 2 million ad buy to bring up her margins (and thus help Feingold).

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Young Conservative
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« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2016, 06:50:46 PM »

I called this months ago. *pats self on back* *also High fives TN Volunteer for doing the same*
LET'S GO RON JON!!!
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DavidB.
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« Reply #20 on: November 02, 2016, 06:53:51 PM »

Climbing Ronnie! He's not going to win this, but the necessity for Dems to spend money here may help GOP candidates in other tossup races.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #21 on: November 02, 2016, 07:02:31 PM »

Called it. Johnson was never going to get Blanched in a polarized swing state like WI, like most people here predicted.

Oh yeah? Watch him get blanched on Tuesday.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #22 on: November 02, 2016, 07:02:46 PM »

I should add that it was probably stupid for me (and many others) to expect Feingold to win here by 10 or so. This is the state that elected Scott Walker not once, not twice, but thrice.

Basically what TNVol says.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #23 on: November 07, 2016, 03:19:50 AM »

So are there a bunch of Johnson/Johnson voters in the WOW counties or something?
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #24 on: November 07, 2016, 05:24:02 AM »

So are there a bunch of Johnson/Johnson voters in the WOW counties or something?

They probably also all own the entire Robert Caro collection. Tongue
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