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  Talk Elections
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  2016 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  FL/NV/PA/AZ-CNN: Rubio +1, Heck +2, McGinty +5, McCain +13
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Author Topic: FL/NV/PA/AZ-CNN: Rubio +1, Heck +2, McGinty +5, McCain +13  (Read 2304 times)
The Other Castro
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« on: November 02, 2016, 11:36:16 am »

FL: Rubio 49%, Murphy 48%
NV: Heck 49, Cortez-Masto 47%
PA: McGinty 51, Toomey 46%
AZ: McCain 52, Kirkpatrick 39%

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http://edition.cnn.com/2016/11/02/politics/polls-hillary-clinton-donald-trump-florida-pennsylvania-nevada-arizona/index.html
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swf541
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2016, 11:39:02 am »

Rubio, McGinty and McCain will win. NV will go down to the wire.

The massive r bias in the nv cnn poll, if Heck is underperforming Trump its quite bad news for him
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2016, 11:40:14 am »

Rubio, McGinty and McCain will win. NV will go down to the wire.

The massive r bias in the nv cnn poll, if Heck is underperforming Trump its quite bad news for him

The NV poll just seems very junky in general, I wouldn't try to take any meaning from it.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2016, 11:44:14 am »

It's been a long time since I saw Toomey ahead in any poll. Hack McGinty may just pull this off!
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heatcharger
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2016, 11:59:56 am »

If Quinnipiac doesn't show Toomey ahead, he's done.
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Xing
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2016, 12:10:47 pm »

If a Trump +6 poll only shows Heck up by 2, he's done. Democrats have 48 seats in the bag, and PA looks like it might be number 49.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2016, 12:19:23 pm »

New Poll: Florida Senator by CNN/ORC on 2016-11-01

Summary: D: 48%, R: 49%, I: 0%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2016, 12:20:45 pm »

New Poll: Arizona Senator by CNN/ORC on 2016-11-01

Summary: D: 41%, R: 54%, I: 1%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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DavidB.
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2016, 12:23:31 pm »

I'm the worst R pessimist on this forum, but Rubio really isn't going to overperform Trump by only 2.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2016, 12:23:52 pm »

New Poll: Nevada Senator by CNN/ORC on 2016-11-01

Summary: D: 47%, R: 49%, I: 0%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2016, 12:25:04 pm »

New Poll: Pennsylvania Senator by CNN/ORC on 2016-11-01

Summary: D: 51%, R: 46%, I: 1%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Shadows
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« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2016, 02:11:53 pm »

I think Rubio will comfortably win at 4-5% & NV is a pure toss-up.

The NV poll has Trump at +6% which is way too generous.
FL has Clinton at +2%, I think Trump is ahead by 1-2% now at FL.

In the end I think Masto will win NV by 1-2% in a razor thin margin. Mcginty has got this.

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Antonio V
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« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2016, 02:20:36 pm »

I doubt CCM is outperforming Clinton, but if she stays close enough, she should win this.
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