CNN/ORC polls: Trump ahead AZ NV, Clinton ahead FL and PA (user search)
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  CNN/ORC polls: Trump ahead AZ NV, Clinton ahead FL and PA (search mode)
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Author Topic: CNN/ORC polls: Trump ahead AZ NV, Clinton ahead FL and PA  (Read 8652 times)
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« on: November 02, 2016, 11:24:16 AM »

I would truly believe this if they flipper Florida and Nevada.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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Posts: 36,681
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2016, 09:41:10 AM »

Will this NV poll be amongst the worst done this cycle?

There was a poll in 2004 which had Bush up 8 as a final answer. This could be something like that.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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Posts: 36,681
United States


« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2016, 09:52:09 AM »

Will this NV poll be amongst the worst done this cycle?

There was a poll in 2004 which had Bush up 8 as a final answer. This could be something like that.

Not to get ahead of myself, but at least they got the correct winner right. If early voters pan out, this could be off by double digits.

Sorry. It was a state poll for Wisconsin. But that is a big thing for HRC that you are getting at. There haven't been any elections since at least 1948 where the polls on the whole were just black and white wrong.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 36,681
United States


« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2016, 10:28:49 AM »

IDK, Trump has indeed ties to Nevada. Polls are probably wrong, but he clearly has better chanses than Romney or McCain.

year       RCP          Final             
2008    O+6.5        O+12.5 
       
2012    O+2.8        O+6.7
2016     T+2.0           Huh

It could be close. Or the people Hillary relies more on aren't really supposed to vote or maybe there will be a bunch of Bubbas and his buddies in the tailgate of us pickup on Tuesday.
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