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  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  CNN/ORC polls: Trump ahead AZ NV, Clinton ahead FL and PA
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Author Topic: CNN/ORC polls: Trump ahead AZ NV, Clinton ahead FL and PA  (Read 5546 times)
Fusionmunster
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« Reply #75 on: November 05, 2016, 09:39:45 am »

Will this NV poll be amongst the worst done this cycle?
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #76 on: November 05, 2016, 09:41:10 am »

Will this NV poll be amongst the worst done this cycle?

There was a poll in 2004 which had Bush up 8 as a final answer. This could be something like that.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #77 on: November 05, 2016, 09:44:23 am »

Will this NV poll be amongst the worst done this cycle?

There was a poll in 2004 which had Bush up 8 as a final answer. This could be something like that.

Not to get ahead of myself, but at least they got the correct winner right. If early voters pan out, this could be off by double digits.
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #78 on: November 05, 2016, 09:52:09 am »

Will this NV poll be amongst the worst done this cycle?

There was a poll in 2004 which had Bush up 8 as a final answer. This could be something like that.

Not to get ahead of myself, but at least they got the correct winner right. If early voters pan out, this could be off by double digits.

Sorry. It was a state poll for Wisconsin. But that is a big thing for HRC that you are getting at. There haven't been any elections since at least 1948 where the polls on the whole were just black and white wrong.
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #79 on: November 05, 2016, 10:21:11 am »

IDK, Trump has indeed ties to Nevada. Polls are probably wrong, but he clearly has better chanses than Romney or McCain.

year       RCP          Final             
2008    O+6.5        O+12.5 
       
2012    O+2.8        O+6.7
2016     T+2.0           Huh
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #80 on: November 05, 2016, 10:28:49 am »

IDK, Trump has indeed ties to Nevada. Polls are probably wrong, but he clearly has better chanses than Romney or McCain.

year       RCP          Final             
2008    O+6.5        O+12.5 
       
2012    O+2.8        O+6.7
2016     T+2.0           Huh

It could be close. Or the people Hillary relies more on aren't really supposed to vote or maybe there will be a bunch of Bubbas and his buddies in the tailgate of us pickup on Tuesday.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #81 on: November 05, 2016, 11:12:52 am »

still my fav Nevada result the past few years...

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/nv/nevada_senate_angle_vs_reid-1517.html#polls
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Dakota Devil
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« Reply #82 on: November 05, 2016, 12:05:05 pm »
« Edited: November 05, 2016, 12:07:19 pm by Dakota Devil »


I remember this.  It was marvelous!

Edit:  Also, this for those who haven't seen it yet:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/nevada-early-vote_us_581d5e39e4b0e80b02ca43d0?section=us_politics
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President Johnson
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« Reply #83 on: November 05, 2016, 12:12:03 pm »

Not bad, but Hillary is not that much behind in Nevada. I think she's goingto win there.
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