NY-19/SurveyUSA: Trump+3

[Tender Branson]

45% Trump
42% Hillary
  4% Johnson
  3% Stein

This CD was O+6 in 2012 and O+8 in 2008.

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http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=94c57fcb-1e7e-4dca-a7b2-0cfaba34601d

[Ebsy]

SUSA CD polls are notoriously trash.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

The Populist candidate Teachout is outperforming neo-liberal Hillary Clinton? Shocker...

[OneJ]

The Populist candidate Teachout is outperforming neo-liberal Hillary Clinton? Shocker...

You being a pain? Shocker.

[ApatheticAustrian]

this doesn't make any sense.

teachout was supposed to be down and in a harder position than clinton. (quite conservative CD, current office holder is a republican)

what are those strange teachout-trump-voters?

[IceSpear]

this doesn't make any sense.

teachout was supposed to be down and in a harder position than clinton. (quite conservative CD, current office holder is a republican)

what are those strange teachout-trump-voters?

Even if you assume this poll is accurate, there wouldn't necessarily be Trump-Teachout voters. More like Undecided-Teachout and Trump-Undecided. Or Stein-Teachout, etc.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

this doesn't make any sense.

teachout was supposed to be down and in a harder position than clinton. (quite conservative CD, current office holder is a republican)

what are those strange teachout-trump-voters?

Obama did win this district by 6.2% so it should be pretty safe for her. Teachout running a populist campaign could be the factor.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

No NY-19! Don't go for the Socialist! You know better!

(Talking about Teachout)

[IceSpear]

this doesn't make any sense.

teachout was supposed to be down and in a harder position than clinton. (quite conservative CD, current office holder is a republican)

what are those strange teachout-trump-voters?

Obama did win this district by 6.2% so it should be pretty safe for her. Teachout running a populist campaign could be the factor.

Obama's 2012 campaign was no more "populist" (god I hate that term) than Hillary's current campaign.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

this doesn't make any sense.

teachout was supposed to be down and in a harder position than clinton. (quite conservative CD, current office holder is a republican)

what are those strange teachout-trump-voters?

Obama did win this district by 6.2% so it should be pretty safe for her. Teachout running a populist campaign could be the factor.

Obama's 2012 campaign was no more "populist" (god I hate that term) than Hillary's current campaign.

Different year different campaign. Remember Obama was running against a guy that was perceived (Rightly so) as corrupt and is one of the most bland politicians I have ever seen. Also Obama has never been perceived as corrupt as Clinton, a lot of other nasty stuff but not corruption. Trump, as terrible and as Wall street friendly as he would be as president has fooled a lot of the public that he will fight for them bringing along a populist message, but to a far-right extreme.

[Fusionmunster]

I hope SUSA takes a good hard look at their model when this elections done.

[Eraserhead]

I live in the district, it's extremely competitive and there are definitely a significant amount of "Other-Teachout" voters.