FL-W&M/TargetSmart: Clinton +8 (user search)
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  FL-W&M/TargetSmart: Clinton +8 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-W&M/TargetSmart: Clinton +8  (Read 19610 times)
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,172
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« on: November 01, 2016, 11:41:32 PM »

Two things:
- This is partially pre-Comey. I'd like to see the swing between the two periods if they have it.
- Even pre-Comey, this would have looked like an outlier. Outliers aren't worthless, though - especially in a State with lots of polls, throw them in the average and you'll tend to get a more accurate result.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,172
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2016, 12:19:54 AM »

Two things:
- This is partially pre-Comey. I'd like to see the swing between the two periods if they have it.
- Even pre-Comey, this would have looked like an outlier. Outliers aren't worthless, though - especially in a State with lots of polls, throw them in the average and you'll tend to get a more accurate result.

Well, your reaction to this outlier was certainly more sane and measured than your reaction to the other one, LOL.

I tend to react calmly to good news and more anxiously to bad news. It's part of a "better safe than sorry" mentality.
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