FL-W&M/TargetSmart: Clinton +8 (user search)
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  FL-W&M/TargetSmart: Clinton +8 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-W&M/TargetSmart: Clinton +8  (Read 19706 times)
Devout Centrist
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Posts: 10,126
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Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
« on: November 01, 2016, 09:21:20 PM »

JUNK WITH A CAPITAL J
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Devout Centrist
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*****
Posts: 10,126
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2016, 09:27:15 PM »

Remind me again why this is more believable than the NC poll showing Trump up 7?

If I could say one positive thing about this poll...maybe because it's got better crosstabs...?

Idk, I still smell garbage everywhere.
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Devout Centrist
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*****
Posts: 10,126
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2016, 09:29:45 PM »

For the love of god, can the mods please re-ban LittleBigPlanet already? This cretin has made about 120 posts today alone. His spamming is out of control at this point.

Can we get a two-for-one on that?
3 for 1?
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Devout Centrist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,126
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2016, 09:33:09 PM »

Remind me again why this is more believable than the NC poll showing Trump up 7?

If I could say one positive thing about this poll...maybe because it's got better crosstabs...?

Idk, I still smell garbage everywhere.

Honestly, I'm about to give up on the polls and just wait and see what happens on election day. I still think Clinton is favored to win FL, NV and the freiwal states and Trump is slightly favored to win in NC, IA and OH.

Marquette will probably show a close race in WI tomorrow and make this even more confusing.
I felt like we had better polling in 2012.

My gut tells me Clinton is close in Iowa and Ohio, and will probably win both. Trump's not even trying to fight in the trenches at the point. Ground game is crucial and he's practically given up on it.
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Devout Centrist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,126
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2016, 09:45:46 PM »

Note that TargetSmart's 55-37 early voter margin for Clinton is VERY close to 54-37 margin NBC/Marist found for early voters last week, and also consistent with 57-42 spread that Emerson found.

So the main difference between this poll and those two Clinton +1 polls boils down to the respondents in their samples who haven't voted yet.

Well it would be amazing if, because of sh**te ground game and claims that the election is rigged, Trump underperforms big league.
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