FL-W&M/TargetSmart: Rubio starting to look invincible
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  FL-W&M/TargetSmart: Rubio starting to look invincible
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Author Topic: FL-W&M/TargetSmart: Rubio starting to look invincible  (Read 637 times)
heatcharger
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« on: November 01, 2016, 09:09:40 PM »

Link.

Rubio 49%
Murphy 43%
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Green Line
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2016, 09:13:16 PM »

This part of their poll is good and reputable.  The presidential results are JUNK POLL though. 
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Fargobison
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2016, 09:14:51 PM »

If this poll couldn't give Murphy lead I am not sure any poll can.
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Figueira
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2016, 09:24:16 PM »

This part of their poll is good and reputable.  The presidential results are JUNK POLL though. 

You don't get to pick and choose like that. Either it's a good poll, or it isn't.

Based on that 28% number from the presidential race, my guess is that they oversampled NeverTrump Republicans leading to both Clinton and Rubio doing better than they are in reality. Or maybe it's a good poll. Who knows?
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swf541
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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2016, 09:24:47 PM »

This part of their poll is good and reputable.  The presidential results are JUNK POLL though. 

You don't get to pick and choose like that. Either it's a good poll, or it isn't.

Based on that 28% number from the presidential race, my guess is that they oversampled NeverTrump Republicans leading to both Clinton and Rubio doing better than they are in reality. Or maybe it's a good poll. Who knows?

Sums up my thoughts on the poll well
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2016, 09:42:10 PM »

Yep, that's the right thing to do to a poll. Throw out the part you don't like, take the part you like as the gospel truth. Roll Eyes

It seems polls that overstate Hillary's lead in FL are also very bullish on Rubio. It could be that a lot of Cuban Americans are going to split their tickets, but the question is how many.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2016, 09:45:55 PM »

Clinton isn't up by 8, more like 2, so let's add 6 to FBM's score. Wow, Rubio +12! Great news, thank you Florida! Freedom poll!
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