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November 25, 2020, 05:30:21 PM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

  Talk Elections
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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  NC-SurveyUSA: Trump +7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NC-SurveyUSA: Trump +7  (Read 24958 times)
JerryArkansas
jerryarkansas
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« on: November 01, 2016, 03:33:52 PM »

Classic Atlas overreaction to an outlier.  It reads like a book.  The Bedwetter feakout, the republicans rejoice, while tender does his I'm non partisan concern trolling. 
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2016, 03:36:37 PM »

Also we should harken back to 2008 when Survey USA had McCain up 20 here as well.

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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2016, 04:27:21 PM »

He's getting 14% of the black vote.

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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2016, 04:33:26 PM »


Tbf, I'm pretty sure NC has consistently been his best state for that. But I don't think he'll get more than 10% in the end.
Most polls show him getting 1 or 0 points here in NC.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2016, 05:29:53 PM »

Given we were seeing a Trump comeback prior to the FBI reopening the investigation and the fact SUSA is an A-rated pollster, I'm inclined to accept this result.
Or it's an outlier that you are now having to pin your hopes on.  Either could be true.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2016, 05:54:07 PM »

Or it's an outlier that you are now having to pin your hopes on.  Either could be true.

No, I don't believe so. Outside of a D+6 result by Marist last week, all recent polls had her in the low single digits in North Carolina. You're now starting to see the FBI results roll in, on top of the tepid surge we were already seeing prior to it. I'll concede it may be a few points too Republican, but I can definitely see anything from R+3 to R+5 at right now there.
Or it's just an outlier that you are trying to make excuses for.
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