|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
August 12, 2020, 07:34:23 pm
News:
If you are having trouble logging in due to invalid user name / pass:

Consider resetting your account password, as you may have forgotten it over time if using a password manager.

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  VA/ME/IL-Emerson: Clinton +4 in VA and ME, +12 in IL (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: VA/ME/IL-Emerson: Clinton +4 in VA and ME, +12 in IL  (Read 2088 times)
Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,177
United States


« on: November 01, 2016, 11:59:40 am »

Coming from Emerson, these numbers look right. If VA isn't shaking even with landline only, it isn't shaking at all. How on earth did these dummies not think to break ME down into CDs?
Logged
Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,177
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2016, 12:00:31 pm »

This would, likely, have Trump gaining a vote in ME.

This is getting to be very bad.

Emerson is landline only and they didn't poll CDs.
Logged
Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,177
United States


« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2016, 12:04:22 pm »

According to 538, this poll does have Clinton +1 in ME-02, but just +6 in ME-01.

Thanks. I'm not sure where those numbers come from, I can't find them in the presser. But yeah, with the current early voting numbers out of ME-02, tilt-D is more the story than tilt-R, but it should be tightish.
Logged
Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,177
United States


« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2016, 12:19:20 pm »

According to 538, this poll does have Clinton +1 in ME-02, but just +6 in ME-01.

Correct. Here is the detail :

ME-01
-Clinton  49
-trump  43
-Johnson  4

ME-02 (Rounding makes it actually Clinton +1)
-Clinton  44
-trump  42
-Johnson  6


Undecided/refused in ME-02 are shy Trump.


Undecided/refused in ME-02 are shy Clinton.


Hooray! We broke even and learned nothing.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.26 seconds with 15 queries.