NC - Elon: Clinton +1 (4-way), Oct. 23-27

[Erich Maria Remarque]

NC - Elon: Clinton +1 (4-way), Oct. 23-27, 710 LV

https://www.elon.edu/e/elon-poll/poll-archive/110116
https://www.elon.edu/e/CmsFile/GetFile?FileID=694

Compared to    SEP. 27-30:

Hillary Clinton ....298..................42.00%(-2.5)
Donald Trump.....293..................41.20% (+2.2)
Gary Johnson ......19....................2.60% (-6)
Jill Stein ..............4......................0.50%
Other ..................10....................1.40%
Don't Know...........62....................8.70%
Refused ...............24....................3.40%
N= ...................710..................100.00%


Look at Johnson, other. A big deal hides there!

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[HillOfANight]

Clinton 42 (45)
Trump 41 (39)
Johnson 3 (9)
Undecided 14 (7)

Black
Clinton 100
Trump 0


White
Trump 67
Clinton 33

[Dr. Arch]

The Trump Never Leads in NC outside of internals meme lives on.

[Ljube]

If the number of undecided is this big, Trump has already won the state.

[Pyro]

That number of Undecided voters is terrifying.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

If the number of undecided is this big, Trump has already won the state.

True, because they aren't really undecided.

[Speed of Sound]

Weridly comforting to know that if Whites break 67/33, Clinton still has a lead. That said, that's a decent little tightening, but jibes with what we're seeing in the early vote: a pretty close race.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

A pretty close race in the early vote means a comfortable Trump win on election day. Wake up people.

[Dr. Arch]

A pretty close race in the early vote means a comfortable Trump win on election day. Wake up people.

What BS.

[HillOfANight]

They didn't weight by education which I think might be skewing the white number.

[Speed of Sound]

A pretty close race in the early vote means a comfortable Trump win on election day. Wake up people.

All indications are that Clinton leads the early vote; it's the margin in that lead that has people predicting the close result in the end.

[bilaps]

A pretty close race in the early vote means a comfortable Trump win on election day. Wake up people.

Is there early vote result in this poll?

[Eraserhead]

Weridly comforting to know that if Whites break 67/33, Clinton still has a lead. That said, that's a decent little tightening, but jibes with what we're seeing in the early vote: a pretty close race.

She's also not going to win the black vote 100%-0% though.

[Speed of Sound]

Weridly comforting to know that if Whites break 67/33, Clinton still has a lead. That said, that's a decent little tightening, but jibes with what we're seeing in the early vote: a pretty close race.

She's also not going to win the black vote 100%-0% though.

Very true, but even a change to 90/10 and 65/35 would be a wash, e.g.

[john cage bubblegum]

So Clinton leads every real poll of NC, and one pre-Comey poll of NC has Clinton up by 1 with a lot of undecideds, so she has no chance?

Okay then.

[Dr. Arch]

So Clinton leads every real poll of NC, and one pre-Comey poll of NC has Clinton up by 1 with a lot of undecideds, so she has no chance?

Okay then.

I think I finally understand the Atlas Panic Meme.

[Speed of Sound]

So Clinton leads every real poll of NC, and one pre-Comey poll of NC has Clinton up by 1 with a lot of undecideds, so she has no chance?

Okay then.

I think I finally understand the Atlas Panic Meme.

At least memes are usually self-aware.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

They didn't weight by education which I think might be skewing the white number.

They didn't either for a month ago, when they had C+6. Don't you think yourself, that it is a little bit pathethic to "unskew" all the negative polls sort of all the time? What for?

BTW, 538 changed it from C+1 to T+1. They had D house effect (+ Trump has positive trend line, probably).

[bilaps]

some interesting findings

clinton actually does better with hs graduates than with college graduates?!

also they called 44% d and 33% r but self described party ID was 35-29 with 35 independents

[TC 25]

The Trump surge is real.

NC tipping his way.  Virginia getting much closer.

[bilaps]

also 23% black

upshot has it 21%

early voting has it 22%

early voting 2012 30%

make your own conclusion

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

The Trump surge is real.

NC tipping his way.  Virginia getting much closer.

Shut up rookie.

[DavidB.]

These aren't only undecideds though. It's also "refused". We don't know what percentage of that category is actually undecided.

[henster]

Starting to feel A LOT like Hagan/Tillis.