VA WaPo/Schar School Poll - Clinton +6
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  VA WaPo/Schar School Poll - Clinton +6
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Author Topic: VA WaPo/Schar School Poll - Clinton +6  (Read 741 times)
jaichind
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« on: November 01, 2016, 06:43:30 AM »

https://www.washingtonpost.com/page/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2016/11/01/National-Politics/Polling/release_453.xml

Clinton    48
Trump     42
Johnston   6
Stein         2
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2016, 06:45:27 AM »
« Edited: November 01, 2016, 06:56:00 AM by Happy Sad Trumpista »

4-way:
Clinton    48%  (+2)
Trump     42%  (+3)
Johnston   6%  (-3)
Stein         2%  (-1)

2-way:

Clinton    51% (+0)
Trump     45% (+2)

https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/virginia-politics/clinton-leads-trump-in-virginia-in-new-washington-post-poll-propelled-by-voter-rich-northern-virginia/2016/10/31/1e560cce-9f9c-11e6-8832-23a007c77bb4_story.html
https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/3211542/2016-10-30-VA-Trend-for-Release-11-1.pdf
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jaichind
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2016, 06:49:06 AM »

The generic congressional poll has Dem-GOP 47-46 which seems to imply most of Johnston voters are GOP voters.  If they come home VA could be closer.  Back in 2012 the WaPo poll for VA was pretty close to the mark (Obama +4).  If I had to guess now this margin would seem accurate for the size of Clinton's lead.
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henster
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2016, 10:18:42 AM »

Think it will be closer than many people think.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2016, 10:19:32 AM »

Looks good to me. VA is fine.
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