PA - F&M College: Clinton +11 (4-way) (user search)
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  PA - F&M College: Clinton +11 (4-way) (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA - F&M College: Clinton +11 (4-way)  (Read 6114 times)
Holmes
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Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« on: October 31, 2016, 11:49:01 PM »

Not that it matters much but this poll has some strange regional results.  

1. It says Clinton wins Allegheny county by 40 points.  I grew up in the Pittsburgh area and I would bet everything I own that she wins it by 20 points or less.

2.  It says Trump is only up 15 points in central PA, Romney won this area by over 30 points and I cant see Trump doing worse.

Aside from that it looks remotely plausible although I don't really trust the 64-28 figure for SE PA either.  Romney lost what I consider SE PA outside of Philly by about 12-15 points, is Trump really going to loose it by 36 points?

It carries over to Toomey as well, he is doing almost as poorly in all of these places which makes no sense.

For what it's worth, Romney payed special attention to the Philly burbs during his campaign, and he wasn't downright toxic to college educated whites.
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