PA - F&M College: Clinton +11 (4-way) (user search)
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  PA - F&M College: Clinton +11 (4-way) (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA - F&M College: Clinton +11 (4-way)  (Read 6251 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: November 01, 2016, 05:11:29 AM »
Even though F&M is historically a good pollster in PA, this looks like a big outlier to me ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2016, 05:30:50 AM »
Quote from: Roma Caput Mundi on November 01, 2016, 05:27:17 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on November 01, 2016, 05:11:29 AM
Even though F&M is historically a good pollster in PA, this looks like a big outlier to me ...

But the polls showing Clinton +3 in PA are good enough to try and extrapolate a national lead of +1 or +2 ...

It simply makes more sense ...

The average of polls show that Hillary is roughly ahead by 2-3% nationally right now and because PA votes roughly as the US as a whole (slightly more DEM), it makes sense that PA is around C+3 or C+4 right now.

Certainly not C+11 though ...
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