NBC/Survey Monkey: Clinton +6/+7
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  NBC/Survey Monkey: Clinton +6/+7
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Author Topic: NBC/Survey Monkey: Clinton +6/+7  (Read 3005 times)
psychprofessor
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« Reply #50 on: October 31, 2016, 04:06:27 PM »

Good news, but the consensus still suggests tightening.

The consensus suggested tightening before this story and you all called us idiots for pointing it out.

Not really? A week or so ago there was tons of conflicting evidence on that matter, pretty much for every poll that showed tightening there was another that showed her up double digits. When you made your proclamation of the tightening based off Remington (R) polls, there was no consensus among the major election forecasters, as I pointed out to you at the time, but apparently Atlas ate my post and I don't see it in the thread anymore:

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https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=249602.0

Compare to now, where there's Dem celebration about Hillary being up 6-7, with Monmouth/Morning Consult/SUSA showing a 2012-esque race, and you can see the picture has clearly changed.

Btw, I never called you or anyone else an idiot, just a chicken little. And don't even try to deny that. You literally called the election for Bernie Sanders based off a Nevada exit poll. lol

Thank you for being a voice of reason.  NBC/SurveyMonkey might well be correct about the election, but they've been consistently 4-5ish points friendlier to Hillary than most polls.  This result lines up with a Clinton +2-3 point election in other polls, which is exactly what we're probably looking at.

This is just gibberish. They've consistently had HRC up 4-6 all cycle. This has been one of the most stable trackers for the past six months - there is no 5+ D house effect with this poll...pure nonsense
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Alcon
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« Reply #51 on: October 31, 2016, 04:08:41 PM »

nirvanayoda, possible you're confusing the NBC/SurveyMonkey poll with the WSJ/NBC poll?  This poll (NBC/SurveyMonkey) seems unusually stable, but I don't think it's shown much of a Democratic house effect.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #52 on: October 31, 2016, 04:10:01 PM »

nirvanayoda, possible you're confusing the NBC/SurveyMonkey poll with the WSJ/NBC poll?  This poll (NBC/SurveyMonkey) seems unusually stable, but I don't think it's shown much of a Democratic house effect.

Yes, I think he is. The SM poll has been more bearish on Clinton than most.
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Rand
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« Reply #53 on: October 31, 2016, 06:39:56 PM »

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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #54 on: October 31, 2016, 09:24:27 PM »

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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #55 on: October 31, 2016, 09:34:54 PM »

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