IN-Monmouth: Gregg +6
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Author Topic: IN-Monmouth: Gregg +6  (Read 3598 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: October 31, 2016, 12:10:58 PM »

48% John Gregg (D)
42% Eric Holcomb (R)
4% Rex Bell (L)

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_IN_103116/
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KingSweden
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« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2016, 12:13:42 PM »

In a poll with Trump up 11 (reasonable) and Bayh in dead heat...

Congrats, Governor Moustache
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Maxwell
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« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2016, 12:22:59 PM »

fantastic!
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Lincoln Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2016, 12:25:29 PM »

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Xing
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« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2016, 12:32:23 PM »

If a poll with Trump up by 11 has Gregg this far ahead, he's probably got this.
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Bismarck
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« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2016, 12:34:19 PM »

Moving from tilt D to lean D.
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Cashew
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« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2016, 01:07:58 PM »

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libertpaulian
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« Reply #7 on: October 31, 2016, 01:16:38 PM »

Looks like Dems pick up IN and NC.
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Figueira
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« Reply #8 on: October 31, 2016, 03:04:09 PM »

At least this poll isn't all bad. Awesome Mustache will defeat Discount Jeb!
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #9 on: December 31, 2016, 04:34:32 AM »

Does anyone know what happened here?
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○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└
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« Reply #10 on: December 31, 2016, 04:41:27 AM »

If a poll with Trump up by 11 has Gregg this far ahead, he's probably got this.

Or maybe Trump will win by 19, and Gregg is toast.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #11 on: December 31, 2016, 04:44:28 AM »


Pence homestate effect happened.
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Lincoln Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #12 on: December 31, 2016, 07:42:10 AM »


Trump won by 19 instead of 11.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #13 on: December 31, 2016, 08:56:39 AM »

This exactly. Trump's coattails were much longer. The same thing happened with Eric Greitens in MO. Hillary was just toxic in states like IN and MO that rapidly trend R.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #14 on: December 31, 2016, 10:46:34 AM »

Yeah, but Gregg seems like the type of Democrat who would get many Trump voters. Also, coattails weren't really a big factor in most gubernatorial races (heck, look at WV and VT, for example).


Even if you assume a uniform swing, that would give Holcomb a lead of 2 points. But he won by 6 points on election day.
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