New bellwether state
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 24, 2024, 08:32:44 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 100% pro-life no matter what)
  New bellwether state		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: New bellwether state  (Read 469 times)
On Fleek
on fleek
Rookie
**
Posts: 105
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 29, 2016, 07:34:09 PM »
If Clinton wins the general election while losing Ohio and Florida, what state would be considered the new bellwether?
Logged
anthonyjg
anty1691
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 686


Political Matrix
E: -8.52, S: -7.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2016, 07:43:50 PM »
Pennsylvania's RCP average is pretty close to the the national one, so maybe that could be the new one.
Logged
Figueira
84285
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,175


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2016, 08:00:56 PM »
Nevada has voted for the EV winner of every election since 1980.
Logged
On Fleek
on fleek
Rookie
**
Posts: 105
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2016, 08:06:23 PM »
Quote from: anthony1691 on October 29, 2016, 07:43:50 PM
Pennsylvania's RCP average is pretty close to the the national one, so maybe that could be the new one.

Pennsylvania refused to vote for Bush twice in a row. So no!
Logged
On Fleek
on fleek
Rookie
**
Posts: 105
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 29, 2016, 08:08:59 PM »
Quote from: NOT BEN SASSE 2020 on October 29, 2016, 08:00:56 PM
Nevada has voted for the EV winner of every election since 1980.

Nevada is a good one, and so is New Mexico, depending on how you define "bellwether" - based on the popular vote or on the electoral vote?
Logged
Cashew
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,566
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 29, 2016, 09:16:28 PM »
Quote from: On Fleek on October 29, 2016, 08:08:59 PM
Quote from: NOT BEN SASSE 2020 on October 29, 2016, 08:00:56 PM
Nevada has voted for the EV winner of every election since 1980.

Nevada is a good one, and so is New Mexico, depending on how you define "bellwether" - based on the popular vote or on the electoral vote?
No, just no
Logged
anthonyjg
anty1691
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 686


Political Matrix
E: -8.52, S: -7.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 29, 2016, 09:37:38 PM »
Quote from: On Fleek on October 29, 2016, 08:06:23 PM
Quote from: anthony1691 on October 29, 2016, 07:43:50 PM
Pennsylvania's RCP average is pretty close to the the national one, so maybe that could be the new one.

Pennsylvania refused to vote for Bush twice in a row. So no!
Ah yes, similar to the solidly republican Virginia which refused to vote for Clinton twice.
Logged
5280
MagneticFree
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,404
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.97, S: -0.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 29, 2016, 09:39:57 PM »
Either Colorado or Pennsylvania.
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,193
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 29, 2016, 11:17:55 PM »
Nevada, which has been more reliable than Ohio since 1912 anyway.
Logged
Figueira
84285
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,175


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 30, 2016, 12:28:10 AM »
Quote from: Cashew on October 29, 2016, 09:16:28 PM
Quote from: On Fleek on October 29, 2016, 08:08:59 PM
Quote from: NOT BEN SASSE 2020 on October 29, 2016, 08:00:56 PM
Nevada has voted for the EV winner of every election since 1980.

Nevada is a good one, and so is New Mexico, depending on how you define "bellwether" - based on the popular vote or on the electoral vote?
No, just no

"Bellwether" just means they voted for the same candidate as the nation as a whole, not that the margins are the same. New Mexico will probably stop being a bellwether the next time a Republican wins nationwide, though.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,678
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 30, 2016, 04:09:52 PM »
VA is the new bellweather state.
Logged
Ljube
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,060
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 30, 2016, 07:35:04 PM »
VA or CO.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.214 seconds with 12 queries.