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News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

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  FL-Upshot/Siena: Trump +4
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Author Topic: FL-Upshot/Siena: Trump +4  (Read 6351 times)
heatcharger
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« on: October 30, 2016, 07:04:13 AM »

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/10/30/upshot/florida-poll.html

Trump 46%
Clinton 42%
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2016, 07:05:55 AM »

Hmmm - interesting.
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dspNY
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« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2016, 07:07:55 AM »

That's not good at all (their modeling is good). However they got an 11 point divergence between NC and FL which is very weird
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2016, 07:08:50 AM »

Yikes, this is not good
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heatcharger
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« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2016, 07:09:29 AM »

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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2016, 07:10:07 AM »

But the Hillary supporters told me she has it "in the bag" ...
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #6 on: October 30, 2016, 07:10:14 AM »

It is real...
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #7 on: October 30, 2016, 07:10:54 AM »

That's not good at all (their modeling is good). However they got an 11 point divergence between NC and FL which is very weird

It's funny that the commentary around this, whilst arguing the numbers are possible, is very quick pour cold water as this being definitive.
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #8 on: October 30, 2016, 07:11:06 AM »


Explain Roll Eyes
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #9 on: October 30, 2016, 07:12:10 AM »

Wow... the race looks like it really is getting closer.
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #10 on: October 30, 2016, 07:14:19 AM »

It is pre-Weiner-gate poll. Junk! Cheesy
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #11 on: October 30, 2016, 07:19:32 AM »

4-way: T+4
Trump  46%
Clinton 42%
Johnson 4%

2-way: T+3
Trump  48%
Clinton 45%

Senate: R+9
Rubio    51%
Murphy 42%
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #12 on: October 30, 2016, 07:21:39 AM »


Hmmm. No. Smiley
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #13 on: October 30, 2016, 07:22:09 AM »

We've got an NBC poll of Florida coming in 39 minutes so i'll wait.
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #14 on: October 30, 2016, 07:22:34 AM »


Knew it Roll Eyes
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #15 on: October 30, 2016, 07:23:06 AM »

We've got an NBC poll of Florida coming in 39 minutes so i'll wait.
And NC



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Eraserhead
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« Reply #16 on: October 30, 2016, 07:23:58 AM »

Eek.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #17 on: October 30, 2016, 07:24:58 AM »

Something seems off though when their model is getting such wildly diffrent results from NC and FL.
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #18 on: October 30, 2016, 07:26:28 AM »

Something seems off though when their model is getting such wildly diffrent results from NC and FL.

NC is off Roll Eyes
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #19 on: October 30, 2016, 07:32:21 AM »

Something seems off though when their model is getting such wildly diffrent results from NC and FL.

Honestly, the minority support for Trump do seem very generous. We'll see.
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Terry the Fat Shark
dfwlibertylover
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« Reply #20 on: October 30, 2016, 07:34:12 AM »

I must say I did not expect this....
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #21 on: October 30, 2016, 07:37:41 AM »

I kinda figured Selzer was up to something.
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afleitch
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« Reply #22 on: October 30, 2016, 07:38:01 AM »

Something seems off though when their model is getting such wildly diffrent results from NC and FL.

Honestly, the minority support for Trump do seem very generous. We'll see.

Latino Decisions have it 63-23 amongst Latinos. This poll is 59-30 but also shows a large swing back to Trump amongst Cubans. Might be tied to the Senate race.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #23 on: October 30, 2016, 07:40:26 AM »

She doesnt need Florida but I want her to win it.
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #24 on: October 30, 2016, 07:49:46 AM »
« Edited: October 30, 2016, 07:55:43 AM by Happy Sad Trumpista »

Intresting...

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Whites are coming home?

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