AK-Craciun Research: Clinton +4

[NOVA Green]

I do believe that I made a "Crazy Prediction" of Alaska flipping to Clinton this year....

At this point, I am seriously thinking of moving Alaska into a "Tossup" (Trump) status on my prediction map.

I believe that it is entirely possible that loggers and fishermen, of my fellow Pacific-Northwest state could well combine with the historically Democratic voters of Juneau and the peninsula.

Throw in Anchorage swinging hard-D, suppressed Rep turnout in Mat-Su, add on a mix of 1st Nation communities, and also my personal theory that Trump's comments about "Taking Iraqi Oil" are hitting him hard in the Oil Patch, this scenario is not totally unfeasible.

[NOVA Green]

I suspect that Trump's Russian connections aren't playing too well in a state where "People can see Russia from their backyard" not to mention Russian Petro undercutting domestic American Oil production, Russian ships illegally strip-mining the fishing grounds of US territorial waters, in a state heavily dependent on the fishing industry, etc....

Alaskans are not huge fans of foreign countries, and Russia in particular, interfering in an economy heavily based upon natural resources (Fishing, Logging, Oil) and Trump is a very unusual Republican that on the one hand espouses protecting American jobs and resources, but on the other hand, is the worst kind of Republican when it comes to selling those same jobs "down the river" or even potentially worse caving into to Russia, in a state where even in the dying days of the USSR there were regular naval and air incidents and provocations that could potentially have created a major conflict between the two Super Powers of the Cold War.

Just in case some of y'all and youngins' on the forum never heard this classic Johnny Horton song from the 1950s...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JSt0NEESrUA&spfreload=10

[NOVA Green]

The weird thing with Alaska is that a large majority of votes are actually cast on ED.

So, for example if early returns show Clinton wining big time it could play both ways in terms of both Democratic and Republican turnout.

So we have a state that is 1-2 time zones out from the West Coast that typically locals feel like their vote doesn't matter when an outcome is already decided, how will this actually play out on ED?

Will it benefit Trump/Clinton or be a total wash when it comes to Alaskans voting in a Pres Election, with no major statewide candidates and ballot measures to spark turnout???

[NOVA Green]

The weird thing with Alaska is that a large majority of votes are actually cast on ED.

So, for example if early returns show Clinton wining big time it could play both ways in terms of both Democratic and Republican turnout.

So we have a state that is 1-2 time zones out from the West Coast that typically locals feel like their vote doesn't matter when an outcome is already decided, how will this actually play out on ED?

Will it benefit Trump/Clinton or be a total wash when it comes to Alaskans voting in a Pres Election, with no major statewide candidates and ballot measures to spark turnout???

There is an interesting Senate race there, although I think pretty much everyone agrees Murkowski is headed for a comfortable re-election.

But she is considered a total Maverick, although with slightly less gravitas than former Senator Ernest Gruening, who was one of two Senators (The other being Oregonians much beloved Mark Hatfield) to vote against the Gulf of Tonkin resolution that created an authorization of War in Vietnam, where the lies of the LBJ administration is now historical evidence.

Murkowski won an election as independent after losing against a total Tea-Bagger, and the voters of her state feel that she represents their statewide interests...

So yes... agreed that she wins comfortably, while the state runs close at the Presidential level...

Out here in the PacNW we like our Senators to have a spine and buck party lines on principle, but Trump is viewed on a completely separate level.

[NOVA Green]

Perhaps this is Alaska's way of apologizing to us for giving us you know who.

Or maybe giving us a potential VP Palin, which I think is where you're going with all this....