Auto Alliance/ESA/Pulse Opinion: Trump +6 in FL, Clinton leads in NH/OH/PA/NC/NV

[Devout Centrist]

Those numbers save NV are believable...

[Person Man]

So if CM, DW, Feingold, Hassan, Bayh, and McGinty get it, there is a D senate.

[ProudModerate2]

Ohio and Florida are weird but the rest looks all right. Still not believable obviously.

Agree.
But Florida is more off than Ohio.

[Antonio the Sixth]

This is the second or third recent poll that shows CCM even with or outperforming Clinton. If this holds, that's fantastic news.

[alomas]

OH more to the left than PA?! That cannot be true.

But I would take them, looking at PA, dead heat. And he then can lose NC as well.

[heatcharger]

Oct. 31-Nov. 2:

NC: Clinton +5
NH: Clinton +1
FL: Tie
OH: Clinton +2
PA: Clinton +3
NV: Clinton +1

[Vern]

It would be crazy if these number end  being true

[Person Man]

Oct. 31-Nov. 2:

NC: Clinton +5
NH: Clinton +1
FL: Tie
OH: Clinton +2
PA: Clinton +3
NV: Clinton +1

Nice.

[adrac]

Oct. 31-Nov. 2:

NC: Clinton +5
NH: Clinton +1
FL: Tie
OH: Clinton +2
PA: Clinton +3
NV: Clinton +1

While these numbers definitely seem weird relative to each other, +5 in NC is very reassuring.

[Lief 🗽]

Wow, Clinton surging in Florida!!

[henster]

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So are these guys just polling car owners?

[Devout Centrist]

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So are these guys just polling car owners?

No...?

[Lief 🗽]

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So are these guys just polling car owners?

No...?

It literally says they are in that paragraph though?

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

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So are these guys just polling car owners?

No...?

It literally says they are in that paragraph though?

Nate Silver clearly failed out of his intro Stat class...

[Lief 🗽]

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So are these guys just polling car owners?

No...?

It literally says they are in that paragraph though?

Nate Silver clearly failed out of his intro Stat class...

No matter who wins on Tuesday, I hope our next president moves against Nate Silver with tremendous strength and tremendous determination.  He must be brought to justice.

[GeorgiaModerate]

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So are these guys just polling car owners?

No...?

It literally says they are in that paragraph though?

Nate Silver clearly failed out of his intro Stat class...

No matter who wins on Tuesday, I hope our next president moves against Nate Silver with tremendous strength and tremendous determination.  He must be brought to justice.

Shut down 538 until we understand what's going on with the models!

[heatcharger]

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So are these guys just polling car owners?

Wow, if Hillary's tied in Florida with just car owners, imagine how wide her lead is including people who rely on public transit!

[RFayette]

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So are these guys just polling car owners?

No...?

It literally says they are in that paragraph though?

Nate Silver clearly failed out of his intro Stat class...

No matter who wins on Tuesday, I hope our next president moves against Nate Silver with tremendous strength and tremendous determination.  He must be brought to justice.

Shut down 538 until we understand what's going on with the models!

Unbelievable, folks.  These models are rigged!  Only I can solve.

[Sir Mohamed]

LOL, trash poll. OH is not voting to the left of FL, and certainly not by these numbers.

Honestly, I think we should now forget about the polls and just wait a couple more days to see the outcome.

[Ozymandias]

http://www.allianceesapoll.com/new-poll-results.html

538 uses the "3 Day Roll," so I will too:

PA: Clinton +6 (McGinty +3)
NC: Clinton +3 (Burr +1)
NH: Clinton +1 (Hassan +4)
OH: Clinton +1 (Portman +14)
NV: Tied (Senate also Tied)
FL: Trump +1 (Rubio +13)

[heatcharger]

New numbers from Nov. 2-6:

Florida:

Clinton 47%
Trump 45%
Johnson 2%

Ohio:

Clinton 44%
Trump 43%
Johnson 5%

North Carolina:

Clinton 49%
Trump 43%
Johnson 4%

Pennsylvania:

Trump 46%
Clinton 44%
Johnson 3%

New Hampshire:

Clinton 46%
Trump 40%
Johnson 6%

Nevada:

Clinton 44%
Trump 44%
Johnson 5%

[Devout Centrist]

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Good one.

[alomas]

PA swing and NC numbers look laughable.

[Ebsy]

Don't have high hopes for the accuracy of this pollster.

[J. J.]

Are they trying to win the award for worst pollster of the year?