Quinnipiac-GA: Trump +1 IA: Tied + NC: Clinton +4 VA: Clinton +12 (user search)
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  Quinnipiac-GA: Trump +1 IA: Tied + NC: Clinton +4 VA: Clinton +12 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac-GA: Trump +1 IA: Tied + NC: Clinton +4 VA: Clinton +12  (Read 14850 times)
RJEvans
MasterRegal
Jr. Member
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Posts: 496
United States


« on: October 27, 2016, 02:47:45 PM »

"Head-to-head matchups among likely voters show:

GA: Clinton-Trump tied at 46 - 46 percent;
IA: Trump at 47 percent to Clinton's 46 percent;
NC: Clinton leads Trump 50 - 44 percent;
VA: Clinton buries Trump 53 - 40 percent."

She's at 50% in NC and VA in the H2H. That's very good news for Clinton 12 days before the election.

Early voters
Clinton leads 48 - 42 in GA
Clinton leads 61 - 27 in IA
Clinton leads 62 - 34 in NC


Are we certain the Clinton camp did not reach out to low propensity GOP Never Trumpers in their GOTV in IA?

For whatever reason, these polls plus Clinton up 6 in the PEW poll took a full % point off her lead. I have no idea why!

Neither do I. I don't see how a these numbers can indicate anything but increased chances.
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RJEvans
MasterRegal
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 496
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2016, 03:01:10 PM »

omfg these polls INCREASED Trump's 538 chance by 1%!

When will dopey fraud Nate Silver finally be made to pay for his crimes?!

I think his increased chances stem for his improvement in OH. It's flipped in 2 of the 3 models.
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