NM - Zia Poll - Clinton +5
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Author Topic: NM - Zia Poll - Clinton +5  (Read 1214 times)
ProudModerate2
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« on: October 27, 2016, 01:21:54 PM »
« edited: October 27, 2016, 01:23:48 PM by ProudModerate2 »

1,899 LV
Date = Oct 24th.

Clinton 45
Trump 40
Johnson 9
Stein 2
Undecided 4

Link: http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20161027_NM.pdf
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2016, 01:27:50 PM »

NM is pretty much safe just looking at CO, NV, and AZ.
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King
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« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2016, 01:30:19 PM »

rofl Trump leads 18-24s, 25-34s, and 35-44s, all by double digits? JUNK
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2016, 01:31:24 PM »

Roll Eyes
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Southern Delegate matthew27
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« Reply #4 on: October 27, 2016, 01:33:34 PM »

rofl Trump leads 18-24s, 25-34s, and 35-44s, all by double digits? JUNK
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2016, 01:43:17 PM »

their poll from October 11th had Clinton + 10 fwiw, one of the main problems appears to be that they only poll on one day.
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2016, 01:44:54 PM »

rofl Trump leads 18-24s, 25-34s, and 35-44s, all by double digits? JUNK

Those aren't the main indicators that this is crap. The topline numbers are.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #7 on: October 27, 2016, 01:44:55 PM »

their poll from October 11th had Clinton + 10 fwiw, one of the main problems appears to be that they only poll on one day.
Yeah, flashpolls by crappy firms usually end up being, well, crap.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #8 on: October 27, 2016, 01:45:57 PM »

John Zogby would be a proud man.
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #9 on: October 27, 2016, 02:01:56 PM »

This poll is obviously crap, but questionable crosstabs do not always mean (as some believe) crapiness.

Check out PPP's final Florida (which they nailed) poll in 2012: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_FLNC_1105.pdf

The voting intentions of the 46-65 age group were, in this poll (again, PPP nailed the FL result), almost identical to the 18-29s.

Compare that to the exit poll numbers: http://edition.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/FL/president/ They showed Obama as having won the under 30s by 34%, compared to 9% in PPP's poll.

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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #10 on: October 27, 2016, 02:06:02 PM »

Though I will add that with this poll the sample is twice as high as PPP's FL 2012 poll, hence it's trash as the crosstabs should have a somewhat lower MOE.
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« Reply #11 on: October 27, 2016, 03:07:55 PM »

Khaleda Zia and/or Zia ul-Haq have taken up American polling?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #12 on: October 27, 2016, 03:30:12 PM »

Johnson at only 9% in what will certainly be his best state? Ouch.
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