ID-Rasmussen: Trump +19 (user search)
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  ID-Rasmussen: Trump +19 (search mode)
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Author Topic: ID-Rasmussen: Trump +19  (Read 1083 times)
The Hunt for the Red October Surprise
Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,459
United States


« on: October 27, 2016, 10:15:02 PM »

That last two polls have had him at 10%. Utah polls say that McMullin does well with young Mormons; he could win Madison County, but I'm not sure that he'll win any more in Idaho at this rate.
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The Hunt for the Red October Surprise
Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,459
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2016, 10:58:48 PM »

RIP.... #BattlegroundIdaho Mcmullen...

It's still interesting to see a Republican at <50% in Idaho, but it doesn't appear that the love is spreading North to Idaho....

Regardless, still curious to see how Ada County votes this year, along with a few heavily Latino Counties along the Snake River....

It is spreading North at the same rate. Utah is at about 30% McMullin with roughly 60% Mormons. Idaho is at 10% with 20% Mormons. McMullin is only winning about half of Mormon voters in both states. I'm wondering if that extends to other states. The big problem for McMullin is ballot access.

Colorado and New Mexico have about 3% and McMullin has ballot access in those two states. That would give him about 1.5% in each state of we figure that half of Mormons vote for McMullin.

Ada could be interesting though. If McMullin can shave off a few percent, Clinton could have a chance in Ada County.
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