RIP.... #BattlegroundIdaho Mcmullen...
It's still interesting to see a Republican at <50% in Idaho, but it doesn't appear that the love is spreading North to Idaho....
Regardless, still curious to see how Ada County votes this year, along with a few heavily Latino Counties along the Snake River....
It is spreading North at the same rate. Utah is at about 30% McMullin with roughly 60% Mormons. Idaho is at 10% with 20% Mormons. McMullin is only winning about half of Mormon voters in both states. I'm wondering if that extends to other states. The big problem for McMullin is ballot access.
Colorado and New Mexico have about 3% and McMullin has ballot access in those two states. That would give him about 1.5% in each state of we figure that half of Mormons vote for McMullin.
Ada could be interesting though. If McMullin can shave off a few percent, Clinton could have a chance in Ada County.
