CNBC/Hart Research (NBC/WSJ) National: Clinton +9
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  CNBC/Hart Research (NBC/WSJ) National: Clinton +9
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Author Topic: CNBC/Hart Research (NBC/WSJ) National: Clinton +9  (Read 1339 times)
heatcharger
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« on: October 27, 2016, 06:45:00 AM »

http://www.cnbc.com/2016/10/27/clinton-nearly-doubles-lead-over-trump-in-latest-cnbc-survey.html

Clinton 46%
Trump 37%

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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2016, 06:46:56 AM »

the volatility is mad and influencing my trust in the average.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2016, 06:48:22 AM »

the volatility is mad and influencing my trust in the average.

Its really not that volatile. Everything outside of **** trackers are within a reasonable range.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2016, 06:49:47 AM »

the volatility is mad and influencing my trust in the average.

It was like this in 2008 two weeks before the election as well. Funny enough, Fox news also released a poll two weeks out showing Obama +3 on McCain.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: October 27, 2016, 06:51:27 AM »

It says this is a doubling of Clinton's lead since the last poll, does anyone know what those results where?
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2016, 06:51:53 AM »

Nice.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2016, 06:53:22 AM »

oh i believe that hillary is ahead but between 3 and and 15 points, i don't belive in a +9 lead...well, still +7 would be awesome.

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #7 on: October 27, 2016, 06:57:23 AM »

oh i believe that hillary is ahead but between 3 and and 15 points, i don't belive in a +9 lead...well, still +7 would be awesome.



You believe that she's ahead between 3 and 15, but not that she's ahead by 9 (which is the exact average of 3 and 15)?  This does not compute.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #8 on: October 27, 2016, 06:57:53 AM »

It says this is a doubling of Clinton's lead since the last poll, does anyone know what those results where?

The last poll was in June.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #9 on: October 27, 2016, 07:00:35 AM »

YOWZERS!!!  FANTASTICALLY TREMENDOUS!!! 

I'm so zizzled with excitement that another fine pollster is verifying my prediction of Clinton winning the election by 9.  I'm humbled.   
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Dumbo
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« Reply #10 on: October 27, 2016, 07:04:07 AM »

oh i believe that hillary is ahead but between 3 and and 15 points, i don't belive in a +9 lead...well, still +7 would be awesome.


My hope is that Clinton wins 270 - 268 and that at least in one of
the Clinton states her lead is just out of the range of a recount.
If this is the result Donald will be furious.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #11 on: October 27, 2016, 07:06:41 AM »

oh i believe that hillary is ahead but between 3 and and 15 points, i don't belive in a +9 lead...well, still +7 would be awesome.



You believe that she's ahead between 3 and 15, but not that she's ahead by 9 (which is the exact average of 3 and 15)?  This does not compute.


you are correct, i misspoke. i meant...i am sure it must be somewhere inside that range but i can't "feel" how high or low. too much noise.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #12 on: October 27, 2016, 07:10:51 AM »

oh i believe that hillary is ahead but between 3 and and 15 points, i don't belive in a +9 lead...well, still +7 would be awesome.


When you have a 6 point race, polls showing you up 3 and up to 10 are going to happen, with margin of error and whatnot.
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #13 on: October 27, 2016, 07:23:57 AM »

YUGE
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Rand
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« Reply #14 on: October 27, 2016, 09:44:43 AM »

The Butcher of Benghazi holds on with 12 days to go. Donald, prepare the lube.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #15 on: October 27, 2016, 10:13:01 AM »

The Butcher of Benghazi holds on with 12 days to go. Donald, prepare the lube.
I much prefer the Assblaster of Abbottabad.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #16 on: October 27, 2016, 12:43:14 PM »

She'll need at least a 20 point lead to counter the surge of Reagan Democrats on election day.

DOOMED!
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Maxwell
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« Reply #17 on: October 27, 2016, 12:48:08 PM »

On one hand, i find it odd that there's so much variation of national numbers. On the other hand, I recognize that it is entirely Trump varying from 40% to 45%, while Clinton's variations are between 49-53%.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #18 on: October 27, 2016, 12:58:52 PM »

On one hand, i find it odd that there's so much variation of national numbers. On the other hand, I recognize that it is entirely Trump varying from 40% to 45%, while Clinton's variations are between 49-53%.

There's always variation though. I kind of wonder what Atlas's reaction was to the polls on the eve of the election showing McCain only down 2 nationally and down 3 in Minnesota. Was the forum full of bedwetters, concern trolls, and doom prophecies then too?
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #19 on: October 27, 2016, 01:19:28 PM »

OK, I feel better now.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #20 on: October 27, 2016, 01:26:04 PM »

On one hand, i find it odd that there's so much variation of national numbers.

I don't find the amount of variation this year to be anything remarkable.  Is there really more variation than normal?
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #21 on: October 27, 2016, 01:27:02 PM »

It's clear HRC is somewhere between +6-+9.
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Desroko
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« Reply #22 on: October 27, 2016, 01:39:10 PM »

On one hand, i find it odd that there's so much variation of national numbers.

I don't find the amount of variation this year to be anything remarkable.  Is there really more variation than normal?


No. Undecideds/someone else are still high, but the two-party is comparable to 2012 and less volatile than 2008 or 2004.
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Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
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« Reply #23 on: October 27, 2016, 04:52:54 PM »
« Edited: October 27, 2016, 04:54:52 PM by Zyzz »

oh i believe that hillary is ahead but between 3 and and 15 points, i don't belive in a +9 lead...well, still +7 would be awesome.


My hope is that Clinton wins 270 - 268 and that at least in one of
the Clinton states her lead is just out of the range of a recount.
If this is the result Donald will be furious.

Trump could bribe could a few of the Democratic electors, or his thugs could beat them to near death if they don't switch their votes.
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mark_twain
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« Reply #24 on: October 27, 2016, 05:53:06 PM »


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Great headline, and very telling!

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