Why is the race tightening again?

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

I do believe she will win. It is just a bit jarring to see some of the posts on here from folks planning their celebration for election night when it is in part still flying around.

Hillary will run up huge margins in CA NY and other blue states. That doesn't help her one bit in FL or OH. Again, do the math.

maths

Florida and Ohio don't get Trump to 270. He needs states like Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Colorado, Minnesota, Virginia, or Michigan, and he's currently down at least 6 in all of those. You're right that we shouldn't get complacent, but it's not razor-thin like you're implying.

Could Trump win any of these?

[Erich Maria Remarque]

The 60-day race oscillation won't get to an inflection point fast enough for Trump to have a chance.  If the election were held on Nov 28 Clinton would be in trouble.

The model takes it to account and gives 20% Trump. Yeah, I know, you think that 538 is too kind to him, but it's f**king Trump. Even 5% of winning is a great honor

[Lincoln Republican]

Because in spite of Trump's obvious failings, the voters still have trust and character issues with Clinton.

She is simply not to be trusted, and this shows up in polling showing a majority of voters do not trust her.

[Seriously?]

Not bed wetting like others but just wondering why the polls are tightening in the past few days.

Aside from the fact that tightening is the usual dynamic after the third debate?

I can't say that Hillary Clinton is having a great week by any stretch of the imagination. Wikileaks keeps coming. The Clinton Foundation scandal is starting to rear its ugly head. Tim Kaine can't draw flies to a rally. The list goes on and on.

[eric82oslo]

Why do people always compare Trump to Farage?

The ~same policies. No?

Not at all. Farage and UKIP hate the EU and foreigners in general, including the foreigners who already live in the UK, while Trump hates everyone who is not himself or his closest family or who is constantly praising him (like Putin or Giuliani). There's an enormous difference. If you can't see it, you must be as blind as one can get.