AP-GFK National: Clinton +15 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 07:51:01 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  AP-GFK National: Clinton +15 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: AP-GFK National: Clinton +15  (Read 3724 times)
Mehmentum
Icefire9
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,600
United States


« on: October 26, 2016, 10:48:43 PM »

I know a +15 for Hillary can be hard to grasp, but think about it this way.

-Higher than normal Latino turnout (see Arizona and Texas)
-Record breaking lopsided support from Latinos against Trump for Hillary (projected to be between 76.5% to 87.5% for HRC)
-A possibility of record breaking lopsided support from Millennials (keep in mind that Trump is doing very terrible among this group at less than <30%, third partiers either don't vote or will vote for Clinton so it's possible that she will pass 2012 and maybe even 2008)
-Black turnout is still strong unlike what others want to believe
-College educated whites rejecting Trump
-White women propelling toward Clinton
-Early voting shows high turnout period

A double digit lead for HRC on November 8, 2016 is not out of the question.


And importantly, a 15 point win relies on Republican turnout cratering, which we're seeing some tentative evidence of.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.017 seconds with 13 queries.