Suffolk national: Clinton +9 (4-way); +10 H2H (user search)
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  Suffolk national: Clinton +9 (4-way); +10 H2H (search mode)
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Author Topic: Suffolk national: Clinton +9 (4-way); +10 H2H  (Read 2091 times)
Yank2133
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,387


« on: October 26, 2016, 01:01:35 PM »

so it's not getting closer? the race is about the same?

My beautiful wonderful trash free national average posts a 6.2 lead in the 2-way and a 6 lead in the 4-way - a definitively not close race. this will only help that situation.

Pretty much.

People get caught up in individual polls too much. When you look at the averages, Hillary is likely up around 5-7 points nationally.

Honestly for all the craziness that Trump has brought, this has been a fairly stable race polling wise. 2012 was actually a tad more volatile.
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Yank2133
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,387


« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2016, 01:15:11 PM »

Phew.

Honestly for all the craziness that Trump has brought, this has been a fairly stable race polling wise. 2012 was actually a tad more volatile.

That's not true. This race is far more votatile than 2012.
Not in terms of polling. It has been remarkable stable.

Yup.

Trump has lead in three national polls the last couple months (CNN, LA-times, and IBD) and I the only swing state polling that has been favorable to him is IA and OH. 2012 as stable, but there was far more variance in that national polls, especially after the first debate.
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Yank2133
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,387


« Reply #2 on: October 26, 2016, 01:17:57 PM »

Phew.

Honestly for all the craziness that Trump has brought, this has been a fairly stable race polling wise. 2012 was actually a tad more volatile.

That's not true. This race is far more votatile than 2012.
Not in terms of polling. It has been remarkable stable.

Going back and forth between a virtual tie and Clinton+10 three times over is not "remarkably stable".

Look at the average of the polls.

The only time Trump had a lead was after the RNC. Clinton has lead Trump for the majority of this cycle.
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