UT: Rasmussen- Trump +3
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  UT: Rasmussen- Trump +3
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Author Topic: UT: Rasmussen- Trump +3  (Read 2874 times)
Fargobison
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« on: October 26, 2016, 09:03:06 AM »

Trump 32
McMullin 29
Clinton 28
Johnson 4

http://heatst.com/politics/utah-poll-exclusive-voters-want-gop-to-endorse-evan-mcmullin-in-3-way-tie/
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15 Down, 35 To Go
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2016, 09:06:14 AM »

I think moving this to Leans McMullin might have been premature.  Tossup.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #2 on: October 26, 2016, 09:07:16 AM »

#MAGA
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #3 on: October 26, 2016, 09:08:03 AM »

#TossupUtah lives!!! 
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #4 on: October 26, 2016, 09:10:07 AM »

McMullin’s name recognition is much higher now, now about as high as Johnson’s:

fav/unfav %:
McMullin 51/32% for +19%
Johnson 31/53% for -22%
Trump 31/68% for -37%
Clinton 26/72% for -46%
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #5 on: October 26, 2016, 09:17:02 AM »

with less than two weeks to election day we have trump +3 in utah; +1 in arizona; +3 in texas and +2 in georgia...

states that romney won +48; +9; +16 and +8.

wow
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #6 on: October 26, 2016, 09:24:54 AM »

with less than two weeks to election day we have trump +3 in utah; +1 in arizona; +3 in texas and +2 in georgia...

states that romney won +48; +9; +16 and +8.

wow

aka NAILBITER.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #7 on: October 26, 2016, 09:32:49 AM »

LOL, this is once again hilarious and confirms previous polls. Devastating for the faker. I hope the Trumpster loses UT to either McMuffin or Hillary. #MuffinMentum #BattlegoundUT
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King
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« Reply #8 on: October 26, 2016, 09:42:16 AM »

McMullin’s name recognition is much higher now, now about as high as Johnson’s:

fav/unfav %:
McMullin 51/32% for +19%
Johnson 31/53% for -22%
Trump 31/68% for -37%
Clinton 26/72% for -46%


I don't see how McMullin doesn't win with those numbers.
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PollsDontLie
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« Reply #9 on: October 26, 2016, 09:43:05 AM »

McMullin’s name recognition is much higher now, now about as high as Johnson’s:

fav/unfav %:
McMullin 51/32% for +19%
Johnson 31/53% for -22%
Trump 31/68% for -37%
Clinton 26/72% for -46%


You underestimate the "stop Hillary" vote.
I don't see how McMullin doesn't win with those numbers.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #10 on: October 26, 2016, 09:56:50 AM »

McMullin’s name recognition is much higher now, now about as high as Johnson’s:

fav/unfav %:
McMullin 51/32% for +19%
Johnson 31/53% for -22%
Trump 31/68% for -37%
Clinton 26/72% for -46%


I don't see how McMullin doesn't win with those numbers.

Since voting is already happening there, I kind of wish a poll would show him leading to feel more confident, but that does really suggest he'll win late breakers at a good clip.
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StateBoiler
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« Reply #11 on: October 26, 2016, 11:38:31 AM »

Think a couple of Johnson's points will further break to McMullin. My gut is Trump unfortunately wins this by 2. Will really depend on how many McMullin supporters stick with him instead of wishy-washy away, and how many Hillary supporters decide to vote tactically to deny Trump the state.
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Cubby
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« Reply #12 on: October 26, 2016, 11:53:03 AM »

Think a couple of Johnson's points will further break to McMullin. My gut is Trump unfortunately wins this by 2. Will really depend on how many McMullin supporters stick with him instead of wishy-washy away, and how many Hillary supporters decide to vote tactically to deny Trump the state.

Do you mean they might vote tactically for McMullin?
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #13 on: October 26, 2016, 12:20:42 PM »

This is Rasmussen.
Which means the race is tighter, and I would not doubt a McMullin win in Utah come Nov 8th.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #14 on: October 26, 2016, 12:30:07 PM »

Think a couple of Johnson's points will further break to McMullin. My gut is Trump unfortunately wins this by 2. Will really depend on how many McMullin supporters stick with him instead of wishy-washy away, and how many Hillary supporters decide to vote tactically to deny Trump the state.

Do you mean they might vote tactically for McMullin?


That's the implication, but with McMullin's conservative positions I have a hard time seeing many Clinton supporters choosing to vote for him.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #15 on: October 26, 2016, 12:32:02 PM »

Think a couple of Johnson's points will further break to McMullin. My gut is Trump unfortunately wins this by 2. Will really depend on how many McMullin supporters stick with him instead of wishy-washy away, and how many Hillary supporters decide to vote tactically to deny Trump the state.

Do you mean they might vote tactically for McMullin?


There is already talk among liberals at the social media about doing exactly that.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #16 on: October 26, 2016, 03:03:00 PM »

Please McMullin, please.

WIN
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #17 on: October 26, 2016, 10:50:23 PM »


Some counties in Idaho would be nice as well, but God I hope McMullin wins Utah.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #18 on: October 26, 2016, 10:51:17 PM »

Good number for Clinton in this poll.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #19 on: October 26, 2016, 10:53:55 PM »

Clinton holding her own here. I wanting McMullin to provide a different shade on the map, but Hillary's GOTV effort here could pay off tremendously
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Badger
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« Reply #20 on: October 27, 2016, 01:13:48 AM »

Explain to me again why Clinton can't reasonably approach the mid-30's performance Obama had in 08? If she does, she probably wins.
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Vosem
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« Reply #21 on: October 27, 2016, 01:18:41 AM »

Explain to me again why Clinton can't reasonably approach the mid-30's performance Obama had in 08? If she does, she probably wins.

Mixture of several factors: Bill having been especially unpopular here in the '90s, this being one of Sanders' absolute strongest states in the primary, the Democratic Party here being unusually left-wing relative to the national party and there being a disproportionate number of #BernieOrBust types (for example, Democratic sacrificial-lamb Senate nominee Misty Snow refused to endorse Hillary back in June, and simply said she was a former Bernie supporter without mentioning Hillary at her debate with Senator Lee, who didn't press the point since he has also refused to say who he is voting for presidentially), along with some amount of tactical voting for McMullin among the moderate Dems that do exist. A mixture of all these factors mean Hillary is not meaningfully improving over Obama '12 numbers here.
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Figueira
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« Reply #22 on: October 27, 2016, 01:21:33 AM »

Even if Trump wins, we'll still be able to use the cyan color.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #23 on: October 27, 2016, 10:59:07 AM »

Explain to me again why Clinton can't reasonably approach the mid-30's performance Obama had in 08? If she does, she probably wins.

Some of her voters might be crossing over to help McMuffin.
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #24 on: October 27, 2016, 11:03:14 AM »

I would almost rather McMullin won here than than Hillary, just for the lulz.
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