FL - Bloomberg - Trump +2 (4 way)

[Sir Mohamed]

Junk poll. The latino numbers are laughable. Even putting the more conservative-leaning Cuban-American community into account. There will be a decent number of them voting for Rubio but not the Trumpster.

[Sir Mohamed]

I can't believe I'm the first person to say this, but even if you assume this poll is correct and Trump does carry Florida, he would still probably lose the election.  The only way he wins is if he carries PA or CO, which no polling at all suggests he might do.

Well, there was a poll a few days ago that showed him down by only two points in CO (RCP). But I consider it unlikely that the Trumpster wins CO. The demographic trend there is against him; to many latinos and college-educated whites.