FL - Bloomberg - Trump +2 (4 way)

[ApatheticAustrian]

i really really REALLY doubt that O-care is making any meaningful difference at this point.

especially in a way harmful to hillary.

[GeorgiaModerate]

From the Internal Polls megathread:

John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  1m1 minute ago Manhattan, NY
top GOP pollster on Bloomberg Poll showing Trump +2 in FL: "such an outlier, I'm not going to believe it until confirmed by other surveys"

John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  5m5 minutes ago Manhattan, NY
second top GOP pollster on Bloomberg's +2 Trump poll in FL: "not correct"

[ProudModerate2]

What ridiculous panic over a single poll. Literally 3 pages in as soon as I wake up early in the morning and the poll was posted at 3 AM.

Agree.
Calm down people, it's only one poll.
Many other Florida polls are consistently showing a +3/+4 lead for Clinton.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

What ridiculous panic over a single poll. Literally 3 pages in as soon as I wake up early in the morning and the poll was posted at 3 AM.

Did they hope Trump would tweet about it

[Ozymandias]

Steve Schale ‏@steveschale  7m7 minutes ago
Finally getting a few minutes to dig into @bpolitics poll.  Functionally its major flaw is it has voter turnout at +3 R.  1/

Steve Schale ‏@steveschale  5m5 minutes ago
I don't know a single FL GOPer who thinks it will be plus 3 R.  In fact tonight, EV/ABS turnout is 41-41-18.  This is likely R best case. 2/

Steve Schale ‏@steveschale  2m2 minutes ago
Weigh @bpolitics poll party breaks to 41-41-18, it comes up Clinton by 3. And 2 other polls today had it HRC +3.  As does the average. 3/3

[Lachi]

When the poll had Trump getting 44% of Hispanics, the poll is just bad.

Yes, let's unskew the polls.  That always turns out really well.

I'll offer an alternative explanation -- Floridian Cuban Hispanics have typically voted Republican in greater percentages than Hispanics from other regions.  That hasn't been the case this cycle because, quite frankly, Trump is toxic to ethnic minorities.  However, it's possible that this group of voters is coming "home", either as a result of Rubio's candidacy or otherwise.

That wasn't unskewing, all that is is pointing out something.

[‼realJohnEwards‼]

Mittens was winning the majority of Florida polls the last couple weeks of the 2012 campaign.  Obama wasn't winning any by more than a 1-2 pts.  That was a matchup between two campaigns that had a ground game.  Trump doesn't.  

Florida is pretty safe for Clinton in my advanced and highly accurate model.  But still... Die Freiwand ist stark.

augh!

Anyway, this doesn't look like good news at all.