FL-Associated Industries of Florida: Clinton +3 (user search)
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  FL-Associated Industries of Florida: Clinton +3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-Associated Industries of Florida: Clinton +3  (Read 546 times)
Speed of Sound
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« on: October 25, 2016, 07:27:31 PM »
Is there a reason they weight to a number they think is unlikely to be correct? At any rate, that's a very good number for Clinton, and confirms what we're seeing on the ground (~+5)
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Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
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« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2016, 07:50:34 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on October 25, 2016, 07:49:18 PM
Quote from: Speed of Sound on October 25, 2016, 07:27:31 PM
Is there a reason they weight to a number they think is unlikely to be correct? At any rate, that's a very good number for Clinton, and confirms what we're seeing on the ground (~+5)
They are just making s[Inks] up, a tried and true method for pollsters.

Don't get me wrong, I get that problem in general, but then why literally say that the ID weight you've used is going to be wrong?
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Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
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Posts: 14,166
United States


« Reply #2 on: October 25, 2016, 08:05:18 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on October 25, 2016, 08:02:58 PM
Quote from: Speed of Sound on October 25, 2016, 07:50:34 PM
Quote from: Ebsy on October 25, 2016, 07:49:18 PM
Quote from: Speed of Sound on October 25, 2016, 07:27:31 PM
Is there a reason they weight to a number they think is unlikely to be correct? At any rate, that's a very good number for Clinton, and confirms what we're seeing on the ground (~+5)
They are just making s[Inks] up, a tried and true method for pollsters.

Don't get me wrong, I get that problem in general, but then why literally say that the ID weight you've used is going to be wrong?
The party ID in 2012 was 35 D, 33 R, 33 I.

Right...but that isn't the number they weighted to, nor is it the number they themselves say they expect on election day.
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