AZ-Monmouth: Trump +1

[Tender Branson]

Just heard on CNN that Obamacare premiums are increasing 110% (!!!) next year in AZ.

If this is true, it's game over for Hillary in AZ ...

(Btw, why not cap Obamacare premium increases at the rate of annual inflation over the past year ?. It's pretty silly from a European perspective that there are such huge increases in premiums over a year.)

[Tender Branson]

Just heard on CNN that Obamacare premiums are increasing 110% (!!!) next year in AZ.

If this is true, it's game over for Hillary in AZ ...

(Btw, why not cap Obamacare premium increases at the rate of annual inflation over the past year ?. It's pretty silly from a European perspective that there are such huge increases in premiums over a year.)

It's a matter of whether or not Trump is able to use that to any real effect - and he won't be.

And you are so sure of that why exactly ?

This could bring significantly more voters into his column in the next few weeks IMO, who wavered in their support before ...

[Tender Branson]

Just heard on CNN that Obamacare premiums are increasing 110% (!!!) next year in AZ.

If this is true, it's game over for Hillary in AZ ...

(Btw, why not cap Obamacare premium increases at the rate of annual inflation over the past year ?. It's pretty silly from a European perspective that there are such huge increases in premiums over a year.)

It's a matter of whether or not Trump is able to use that to any real effect - and he won't be.

And you are so sure of that why exactly ?

This could bring significantly more voters into his column in the next few weeks IMO, who wavered in their support before ...

look at his god damn debate performances dude

Sure, but I'm still not fully convinced that Hillary has sealed this election yet.

If anything, she'll probably win with CO+VA and lose other currently close states (such as FL and NC) in the end.

[Tender Branson]

Just heard on CNN that Obamacare premiums are increasing 110% (!!!) next year in AZ.

If this is true, it's game over for Hillary in AZ ...

(Btw, why not cap Obamacare premium increases at the rate of annual inflation over the past year ?. It's pretty silly from a European perspective that there are such huge increases in premiums over a year.)

It's a matter of whether or not Trump is able to use that to any real effect - and he won't be.

And you are so sure of that why exactly ?

This could bring significantly more voters into his column in the next few weeks IMO, who wavered in their support before ...

look at his god damn debate performances dude

Sure, but I'm still not fully convinced that Hillary has sealed this election yet.

If anything, she'll probably win with CO+VA and lose other currently close states (such as FL and NC) in the end.

Both FL and NC are clearly Lean D right now.

The emphasis is on "right now" ... This could change though.

[Tender Branson]

I'm just warning you guys not to get too rollicking, that's all.

A lot can still change ...

I remember that back in 2004, many Democrats thought Kerry would win and were surprised he didn't. So I'm just careful this time. But don't get me wrong: Even I think Hillary is clearly favoured (based on polls in VA and CO).

[Tender Branson]

Just heard on CNN that Obamacare premiums are increasing 110% (!!!) next year in AZ.

If this is true, it's game over for Hillary in AZ ...

(Btw, why not cap Obamacare premium increases at the rate of annual inflation over the past year ?. It's pretty silly from a European perspective that there are such huge increases in premiums over a year.)

It's a matter of whether or not Trump is able to use that to any real effect - and he won't be.

And you are so sure of that why exactly ?

This could bring significantly more voters into his column in the next few weeks IMO, who wavered in their support before ...

look at his god damn debate performances dude

Sure, but I'm still not fully convinced that Hillary has sealed this election yet.

If anything, she'll probably win with CO+VA and lose other currently close states (such as FL and NC) in the end.

I have said this before. But Tender descent into full blown hack is one of the saddest stories of this election cycle.

Why am I a hack, if I only argue for caution about the outcome and when I dislike both Hillary and Trump ?

[Tender Branson]

Just heard on CNN that Obamacare premiums are increasing 110% (!!!) next year in AZ.

If this is true, it's game over for Hillary in AZ ...

(Btw, why not cap Obamacare premium increases at the rate of annual inflation over the past year ?. It's pretty silly from a European perspective that there are such huge increases in premiums over a year.)

It's a matter of whether or not Trump is able to use that to any real effect - and he won't be.

And you are so sure of that why exactly ?

This could bring significantly more voters into his column in the next few weeks IMO, who wavered in their support before ...

look at his god damn debate performances dude

Sure, but I'm still not fully convinced that Hillary has sealed this election yet.

If anything, she'll probably win with CO+VA and lose other currently close states (such as FL and NC) in the end.

I have said this before. But Tender descent into full blown hack is one of the saddest stories of this election cycle.

Why am I a hack, if I only argue for caution about the outcome and when I dislike both Hillary and Trump ?

You are a hack because every single one of your takes is based on your Clinton derangement syndrome. If this was Obama, Bernie etc. You wouldn't be making some these silly arguments that you have made this cycle.

It is my right to attack a candidate I don't like. And Hillary and Trump qualify for this, Obama and Bernie not. HDS is not a real thing though.

[Tender Branson]

Probably close to 10 Million people have voted already, and there's literally just two weeks left. The time to change this race for Trump was weeks, if not months ago.

Nope. In Austria 15% of people voted early and they broke 65-35% for the center-left candidate. The far-right candidate still kept the race close though in the end, losing just 49.7 to 50.3

Much will also depend on the election day vote in many states ...

[Tender Branson]

Probably close to 10 Million people have voted already, and there's literally just two weeks left. The time to change this race for Trump was weeks, if not months ago.

Nope. In Austria 15% of people voted early and they broke 65-35% for the center-left candidate. The far-right candidate still kept the race close though in the end, losing just 49.7 to 50.3

Much will also depend on the election day vote in many states ...

This isn't Austria.  Stop trying to compare the two.

Dude, I know that.

But he was arguing that Trump couldn't win anymore just because 5% of people in some states have already voted.

I posted an example that this is not the case. Trump could still win because 95% have not voted yet.

[Tender Branson]

It's highly annoying to argue with a wall of die-hard Hillary supporters, who constantly liken me to a sweating dog ...

I'm no dog and it has only 3°C outside, so I'm certainly not sweating ...

But I will try to keep you guys down to earth in the next few weeks anyway ...

[Tender Branson]

It's highly annoying to argue with a wall of die-hard Hillary supporters, who constantly liken me to a sweating dog ...

I'm no dog and it has only 3°C outside, so I'm certainly not sweating ...

But I will try to keep you guys down to earth in the next few weeks anyway ...

[Tender Branson]

It's highly annoying to argue with a wall of die-hard Hillary supporters, who constantly liken me to a sweating dog ...

I'm no dog and it has only 3°C outside, so I'm certainly not sweating ...

But I will try to keep you guys down to earth in the next few weeks anyway ...

Look, I get where you're coming from, but barring a monumental polling mistake that would be utterly unprecedented, Clinton will win.

Yes, I know. But I have every right to be critical of that, despite hundreds of Hillary supporters annoyingly attacking me over it.