AZ-Monmouth: Trump +1 (user search)
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  AZ-Monmouth: Trump +1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: AZ-Monmouth: Trump +1  (Read 4932 times)
BoAtlantis
Jr. Member
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Posts: 791


« on: October 25, 2016, 12:21:03 PM »

She should put some serious effort there.
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BoAtlantis
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 791


« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2016, 12:54:20 PM »

I'm just warning you guys not to get too rollicking, that's all.

A lot can still change ...

I remember that back in 2004, many Democrats thought Kerry would win and were surprised he didn't. So I'm just careful this time. But don't get me wrong: Even I think Hillary is clearly favoured (based on polls in VA and CO).

Those are only the foolhardy ones. Most polls showed Bush as the favorite and as a Kerry supporter, I expected it.

Presidential Election polls in America are fairly accurate. It's the midterms that's the problem due to lower turnout. We would have to see polls being wrong at a historic level for Trump to win.

Also, during Presidential years, usually if there is a somewhat significant bias, it has a Republican bias.

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