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November 25, 2020, 06:34:41 AM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

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  ID-Emerson College: Trump +29
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Author Topic: ID-Emerson College: Trump +29  (Read 828 times)
heatcharger
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« on: October 25, 2016, 11:52:26 AM »

http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_06bcdf8a3e564f1ea6549d31229f4d73.pdf

Trump 52%
Clinton 23%
McMullin 10%
Johnson 4%
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NeverAgain
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« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2016, 11:53:20 AM »

Junk. We know Idaho is the real swing state here.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #2 on: October 25, 2016, 11:57:50 AM »

New Poll: Idaho President by Emerson College on 2016-10-23

Summary: D: 23%, R: 52%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #3 on: October 25, 2016, 12:17:37 PM »

Wow.
Even if this poll is off by a moderate amount, I don't think McMullin or Hillary have a chance.
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #4 on: October 25, 2016, 12:38:19 PM »

They have Clinton leading 37-36% in the 2nd District...
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cinyc
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« Reply #5 on: October 25, 2016, 12:38:32 PM »

This is similar to anthony1691's Google Consumer Survey Poll, which was Trump+23, unweighted.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #6 on: October 25, 2016, 12:41:29 PM »

America's worst state.
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President Joseph R. Biden
Patrick97
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« Reply #7 on: October 25, 2016, 12:43:13 PM »

What happened to Trump Mormon problem?
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Crumpets
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« Reply #8 on: October 25, 2016, 12:46:44 PM »

What happened to Trump Mormon problem?

Idaho isn't nearly as Mormon as Utah. I suspect McMullin will perform well in some counties in the Southeast of the state, but pretty much everywhere else is strong Trump country. The one interesting place to watch will be Ada county, where Boise is, to see if it's become a big enough city to tip the county to the democrats with a strong third-party showing.
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #9 on: October 25, 2016, 02:00:19 PM »

Johnson's numbers seem a bit low, but it is Emerson. I don't think Trump will win by 29, but he'll still beat Hillary by at least 20%.

I wish that it I included McMullin's numbers in the second. I'm hoping that he'll still win counties there. At this point though, I'm doubtful that he can win much more than Madison County.
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