CNN/ORC Clinton +5

[Maxwell]

49% in the four way? very solid!

[Maxwell]

both Clinton numbers should be very scary for Donald - close to 50 and over 50. In both scenarios undecideds couldn't make the difference for Donald even if every single undecided went in his direction (an incredibly unlikely scenario for a candidate with 60%+ unfavorables).

[Maxwell]

loljohnson

And people laughed at me months ago when I said Johnson wouldn't crack 5%.

people don't seem to know how this third party thing works even though we go through it every election.

hilarious - Clinton does better with the Likely Voter screen!

[Maxwell]

Did the best job in the debates? 61% Clinton, 29% Trump (ouch)
Cares about people like you? 49% Clinton, 44% Trump

Trump only leads whites by 13.

[Maxwell]

the problem for Trump is that CNN's numbers show that Clinton not only has a 5 to 6 point lead, which in Presidential elections is damn near insurmountable this far out, but that even if he wins EVERY SINGLE UNDECIDED VOTER he loses. She's at 51% in the two way, the election is over because 46+3 is only 49%. She's at 49% in the four way with 5% going to third paries - 44+2 is only 46%.

Besides enthusiasm has drained from his camp, Likely Voters are actually more in Clinton's campaign than in Trump's, her favorables are way way stronger, in almost every single data point she's won.