ABC/WaPo Tracking poll megathread

[JerryArkansas]

I don't think she is up by this much, but her hitting 50 in the four way is devastating for Trump. 

[JerryArkansas]

How about we all realize the poll was an outlier and now has corrected than make other assumptions.  That may be better for you all.

[JerryArkansas]

Its the likely voter screen. Apparently the screen for voter intention is causing the shifts.

https://twitter.com/nickgourevitch/status/792332697708421120

So Clinton always been just up 2% or probably less?

No, but it shows that it really doesn't know what the number is.

[JerryArkansas]

It is hilarious that Trumpers Red hacks I see on twitter are now ignoring this so called most accurate poll ever and are pumping up the ABC IBD/Tipp poll now, which a week ago was a complete joke to them.

Agreed.

Why such trolling on your part.  Noting better to do?

[JerryArkansas]

It is hilarious that Trumpers Red hacks I see on twitter are now ignoring this so called most accurate poll ever and are pumping up the ABC IBD/Tipp poll now, which a week ago was a complete joke to them.

Agreed.

Why such trolling on your part.  Noting better to do?

Just don't like hypocrisy.

I see none, just a sad troll who wants to get noticed by people.

[JerryArkansas]

It is hilarious that Trumpers Red hacks I see on twitter are now ignoring this so called most accurate poll ever and are pumping up the ABC IBD/Tipp poll now, which a week ago was a complete joke to them.

Agreed.

Why such trolling on your part.  Noting better to do?

Just don't like hypocrisy.

I see none, just a sad troll who wants to get noticed by people.

I see no racism from police against Blacks, just a sad trolls protesting to get interviewed by CNN instead of working hard.

It is ok, when we do it!

Yep, a troll.  Go off and troll someplace else.

[JerryArkansas]

It is hilarious that Trumpers Red hacks I see on twitter are now ignoring this so called most accurate poll ever and are pumping up the ABC IBD/Tipp poll now, which a week ago was a complete joke to them.

Agreed.

Why such trolling on your part.  Noting better to do?

Nate is apparantly is a sad troll as well
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/792396374042087424

EDIT: and one more https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/792398796583997441

You must be logged in to read this quote.

The same Nate Silver who didn't trust his data in the primaries, and now is over-correcting for the general?

[JerryArkansas]

The same Nate Silver who didn't trust his data in the primaries, and now is over-correcting for the general?

Before the primaries. He gave up directly after Iowa/NH more or less. But it was 16 dudes, and polls are generally pretty unstable there.

But he didn't give up, he kept trying to say he was right, until he made a fool of himself and his site, now he is trying to over-correct the record.

[JerryArkansas]

So with two days of the FBI stuff in no change.  Still think the poll is sh**t but not bad.

[JerryArkansas]

Three days ago they had Clinton +4, it was the last fully pre-emails gate,
Two days ago they had Clinton +2, Democrats +8
Yesterday Clinton was +1, Democrats +9
Today Clinton stays at +1, Democrats +10!

Love the poll unskewers that come out close to election day.

[JerryArkansas]

Three days ago they had Clinton +4, it was the last fully pre-emails gate,
Two days ago they had Clinton +2, Democrats +8
Yesterday Clinton was +1, Democrats +9
Today Clinton stays at +1, Democrats +10!

Love the poll unskewers that come out close to election day.

I'm having such warm fuzzies from four years ago.

Again, why is ABC reweighing for Party ID? All I have been told here is that that is not the way reputable pollsters do things.

The poll is sh**t, but you remember when you did this four years ago, it didn't turn out so well, and you stopped posting for four years.