ABC/WaPo Tracking poll megathread

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

SUUUUUUUUUUUUUH-WEET SASSY MOLLASEY!!!

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

The amount of dog sweat in this thread is reaching flash flood levels.  There is no tightening in the aggregate.  For every +5 Clinton poll there is a +9 and a +12.  Outliers on the low side are +3-4.  Outliers on the high side are +14-15.  Put on doggy deodorant and calm down.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

10/27: 48-44 in the 4way, 50-45 in the two way.

How tf has hillary lost 8 points in less than a week?

She hasn't.  It's a tracker and trackers are typically horrible.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

10/27: 48-44 in the 4way, 50-45 in the two way.

How tf has hillary lost 8 points in less than a week?

She hasn't.  It's a tracker and trackers are typically horrible.

There is virtually no difference between trackers/non-trackers.

It is not pollster's fault, that Dems are not capable to average

Stop boofing drugs.  Trackers often ask the same group of people over and over throughout the campaign.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Stop boofing drugs.  Trackers often ask the same group of people over and over throughout the campaign.

Lol, no, uneducated ghetto-resident!

I dear say, drug-boofer, I am a resident of an affluent suburb and an alumnus of the prestigious Rutgers University.  I am also in a fraternity whom many a therapist are a member of.  Shall I call to see if I can get you an appointment for your destructive drug boofing?   

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Absolutely SMASHING!  The media had their circus and now are quickly trying to save face after Muh Surge.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Oh I didn't even notice the demographic issues with this before:
Whites - 75%, when they're going to be much closer to 72% or lower.
Blacks - 10% when it's hard to see them falling much lower than 12%
Hispanics - 8%, when they'll likely be closer to 10%


I tried to get the 538 state flipper to match the electorate sizes in this poll, and it would probably take a MASSIVE black collapse: http://53eig.ht/21wa4Aw#NCEW:0.621;0.568,CEW:0.531;0.727,Black:0.058;0.485,Latino:0.217;0.419,A/O:0.295;0.549,3:0.05

Yea, you can throw a couple more points on the board for Our Dear Hillary.  Couple that in with GOTV operation differences (aka a great one vs. none at all) and I'm not moving one inch off my prediction. 

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Just out of interest, using yesterday's breakdowns and adjusting the racial composition to 2012 Clinton would have led 50-43

Yup.  Add in the GOTV swing and HockeyDude's 9pt margin for Hillary is looking pretty sweet!