But there's "no tightening," I thought??
The lead is insurmountable. Worrying about 'tightening' is absurd when there is a) an electoral firewall; and b) no collapse in Clinton's numbers - her floor is still above his ceiling.
problems with this theory:
1. There is still a little bit of time for people to change - numbers are closer than what would make me comfortable.
2. wikileaks/ clinton foundation/ e-mails - dumb voters can't be underestimated.
3. vote is not popular - it only takes a small shift for states like FL, NC, NV, OH, IA to go for Trump and then the margin is razor thin enough that some small region could swing it in any one state pretty much. remember despite all the firewall talk, if the election is a tie, Trump is more likely to win than Clinton.
