ABC/WaPo Tracking poll megathread (user search)
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Author Topic: ABC/WaPo Tracking poll megathread  (Read 38476 times)
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« on: October 23, 2016, 08:35:18 AM »

A tracking poll for the rest of us.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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Posts: 36,689
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2016, 09:03:44 AM »

And oh. Didn't this poll show tightning to +4 a while back?
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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Posts: 36,689
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« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2016, 10:49:00 AM »

So, of those 5% of undecideds, how many are going to the McMuffin? If 1 or 2% are. That makes 3% that are truly undecided and if a lot of them stay home, I think things can be pretty stable unless they can prove that Clinton truly stole/bought/rigged things or does or find Trump shouting n-this and n-that on tape...or that one of them has been truly connected to organized crime.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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Posts: 36,689
United States


« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2016, 11:22:15 AM »

Yeah, so basically what we can conclude from the polls is that no pollster really has a good idea of who's going to turn out, but also that there simply are not enough people willing to vote for Trump to put him over the top unless Hillary voters turn out in numbers lower than their lowest of low projections.

yep. In my mind, it's either a small Clinton popular vote win with the slight possibility of a Trump Electoral college win, or a large Clinton popular vote win.
That's why you vote early. So you don't forget. Smiley
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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Posts: 36,689
United States


« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2016, 07:21:44 AM »

Poll says that 30% of the electorate less likely to vote for Clinton because of this, vast majority are Trump supporters, 60% don't care or it doesn't effect their vote. Only 7% of Clinton supporters say this makes them less likely to vote for her, that feels like a decent number, but I feel like a decent pushback and defense by the campaign should be able to mitigate that number.
How did this compare to the access Hollywood tape?
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 36,689
United States


« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2016, 07:25:36 AM »

Poll says that 30% of the electorate less likely to vote for Clinton because of this, vast majority are Trump supporters, 60% don't care or it doesn't effect their vote. Only 7% of Clinton supporters say this makes them less likely to vote for her, that feels like a decent number, but I feel like a decent pushback and defense by the campaign should be able to mitigate that number.
How did this compare to the access Hollywood tape?

Not nearly as bad
Numbers?
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 36,689
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2016, 07:36:14 AM »

Donald Trump and the GOP have blown their wad and failed to stop her. Julian Assange and Wikileaks have blown their wad and failed to stop her. Vladimir Putin and the Russian have blown their wad and failed to stop her.

Now Comey and the FBI have blown their wad and have failed to stop her.

Who wants to come at her next?
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=hBjj-wKuP1M
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,689
United States


« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2016, 07:14:54 AM »

Yeah, the race bounces back Sad

Still inside Brexit margin Cheesy

Putin/Comey should go to breaking news again...
Hopefully Putin so people know who he voted for. Smiley
Brexit from what? Civilization? Cheesy
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,689
United States


« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2016, 07:51:11 AM »

Its almost like Clinton was never +13 and Trump was never ahead the last two weeks.
Shhhhh...
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