ABC/WaPo Tracking poll megathread (user search)
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  ABC/WaPo Tracking poll megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: ABC/WaPo Tracking poll megathread  (Read 38422 times)
PollsDontLie
nirvanayoda
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Posts: 87


« on: October 24, 2016, 10:57:56 PM »

It is one, Lief.  From today's update:

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So, the website reads today (Mon Oct 24th) that they will show the next updated numbers "tomorrow," which will be on Tue Oct 25th.
I don't understand why, but it seems that they are skipping today (Mon Oct 24th) with new numbers in this "daily" tracker.
Strange (Am I missing something ? Does someone have a clear explanation for this ?).

They did release new numbers today, though.  Just not horserace numbers:
http://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1184a22016ElectionTrackingNo.2.pdf

I understand that they released other numbers on other topics.
But a "daily" tracker poll, will ask the "main" question everyday, which in turn means that you have a newly computed number everyday (though it may be the same number as the day before).
So if this is a running 3-day tracker poll, you subtract the data from the oldest day, you add the new data from the new day polling you just completed, recompute and there you have the new number for release.
So this is what is odd to me.

It's possible that today's results looked outlier-ey in one direction or the other and, therefore, they didn't release.  I hope that's not the case, as that would make me question the integrity of their poll.
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