|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 29, 2020, 09:35:25 am
News:
If you are having trouble logging in due to invalid user name / pass:

Consider resetting your account password, as you may have forgotten it over time if using a password manager.

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  IBD/TIPP Daily Tracking Poll thread FINAL - Trump + 1/ Trump + 2 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: IBD/TIPP Daily Tracking Poll thread FINAL - Trump + 1/ Trump + 2  (Read 11434 times)
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,051
United States


« on: October 22, 2016, 11:04:14 am »

TBT to when IBD/TIPP was crazy in 2008, but got credit and auto-fellated because it had a good final poll:



http://www.huffingtonpost.com/mark-blumenthal/hitting_a_bullet_with_a_bullet_b_725707.html
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,051
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2016, 11:29:59 am »


Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

Lol
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,051
United States


« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2016, 12:32:17 pm »

If it increases over time and the Democrats are proportionally higher than last time, it could get really rough for Republicans, huh?

Considering NC is about 60%+ Early Voting, yes.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,051
United States


« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2016, 09:29:02 am »

IBD is definitely going to show a major swing towards Clinton right before the end so they can keep up their "most accurate pollster" shtick, mark my words.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,051
United States


« Reply #4 on: October 25, 2016, 06:06:53 am »

10/25: Clinton +1 (2-way and 4-way)
Clinton - 42% (+1)
Trump - 41%
Johnson - 8%
Stein - 3% (-1)

Clinton - 43% (+1)
Trump - 42%

Trump is now trailing in every single 2-way National poll, and every single 4-way National poll besides Rasmussen.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,051
United States


« Reply #5 on: October 25, 2016, 06:29:00 am »


Only Rasmussen, for now.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,051
United States


« Reply #6 on: October 25, 2016, 04:10:59 pm »

Washington Post article on why this pollster differs so much. If you are easily triggered by poor methodology, do not read this:

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/10/25/why-the-pollster-who-has-trump-and-clinton-tied-says-he-isnt-worried-about-his-results/
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,051
United States


« Reply #7 on: October 26, 2016, 05:17:05 am »
« Edited: October 26, 2016, 05:23:27 am by Castro »

10/26: Clinton +1 in 4-way, +2 in 2-way
Clinton - 42%
Trump - 41%
Johnson - 8%
Stein - 3%

Clinton - 43%
Trump - 41% (-1)

Looking into the demographic breakdowns, the most glaring thing seems to performance among Hispanics. They have it as 50% Clinton, 25% Trump, 10% Johnson, 9% Stein. Catholic breakdown is also highly questionable, at 48% Trump, 37% Clinton, 7% Johnson, 3% Stein.

(Thread title should be edited to include 2-way and 4-way numbers)
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,051
United States


« Reply #8 on: November 07, 2016, 07:25:28 am »

At least people can shut up about this junk being the most accurate pollster in the future.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.111 seconds with 15 queries.