MO Emerson: Kander Blunt Tied!

[DavidB.]

This means Kander overperforms Hillary by 8 in this poll. That's not inconceivable, and it's probably even more because of the landlines.

Blunt better make a good ad together with Trump, letting all of Missouri know Trump and Blunt support each other for 1000%. And he better do it right now if he wants to win this. He needs to tie himself to Trump as much as possible. This seat is in real danger.

No, Missouri needs two conservative Democratic Senators Wulfric.

Repeating it doesn't make it true. Blue dog days are over. Kander is close to being your average liberal Democrat.

[DavidB.]

No one in this thread said Blunt is a moderate. He very clearly isn't. However, James keeps telling us that Kander would be a Blue Dog, which is simply untrue.

I would also disagree with Joshua's assertion that Blunt would be "substantially more partisan". At this point, newly elected Democrats are almost always generic liberals (and more left-wing than ever) and newly elected Republicans are almost always generic conservatives (and more right-wing than ever). Kander is close to being a generic liberal. His only differing stance is on the Iran deal, which probably won't be all that important of a political issue under Clinton's presidency. Kander comes off as a somewhat conservative Democrat, certainly more so than McCaskill, but he really isn't.

[DavidB.]

I totally agree with David here. Also, I see you are predicting a Rubio win now?

After seeing some other poll in which Rubio is up 10 points with Latinos I had to change it. Still a tossup though, and if another Trump scandal breaks, Murphy may well end up winning.