This looks about right. I didn't understand why Iowa was swinging so hard towards Trump but Wisconsin was supposed to be this 15-pt blowout for Clinton. I think it probably ends up right around 8-9 pts in Clinton's favor, since the western half of the state should be strong for Trump compared to Obama but Trump will endure a lot of erosion in the Milwaukee suburbs.
Marquette's polling has suggested that the Northeast part of the state (Green Bay and Appleton) has been Trump's best region.
Awwww word? I can't claim to know a whole ton about Wisconsin. Where are the white dumbs? Green Bay and Appleton? Well, wherever they reside. They go Trumpy-wise. The Southeast goes towards Clinton. All in all, one region winds up cancelling out another, play with the number for turnout, yadda yadda yadda....
Clinton 52
Trump 44
or thereabouts.