Survey USA National: Clinton +10
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  Survey USA National: Clinton +10
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Author Topic: Survey USA National: Clinton +10  (Read 2577 times)
SunSt0rm
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« on: October 19, 2016, 06:51:18 AM »

National poll

Clinton 46%
Trump 36%
Johnson 5%
Stein 2%

http://www.bostonglobe.com/news/nation/2016/10/18/clinton-has-double-digit-lead-new-national-poll/oiG87aTnB4P9d5howJPEbL/story.html
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #1 on: October 19, 2016, 06:53:59 AM »

Hmmm I'm detecting a bit of a pattern here.
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dspNY
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« Reply #2 on: October 19, 2016, 06:55:21 AM »

538 is going to look so good this morning
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #3 on: October 19, 2016, 07:12:54 AM »

This is SUSA, isn't it?
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #4 on: October 19, 2016, 07:22:45 AM »


Yep it says it was conducted by SurveyUSA between October 11-14.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: October 19, 2016, 07:23:51 AM »


Yep it says it was conducted by SurveyUSA between October 11-14.

Another "A" pollster with a double digit Clinton lead!
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dspNY
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« Reply #6 on: October 19, 2016, 07:30:31 AM »

Double digit Clinton leads in the past week:

NBC/WSJ: +11, +11
Monmouth: +12
Boston Globe/SurveyUSA: +10
PRRI: +15

Almost double-digit leads:

NBC/WSJ: +9
Bloomberg: +9
CBS/NYT: +9
GWU/Battleground: +8
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #7 on: October 19, 2016, 07:35:09 AM »

Double digit Clinton leads in the past week:

NBC/WSJ: +11, +11
Monmouth: +12
Boston Globe/SurveyUSA: +10
PRRI: +15

Almost double-digit leads:

NBC/WSJ: +9
Bloomberg: +9
CBS/NYT: +9
GWU/Battleground: +8

I think it's pretty clear that the ABC poll was the outlier.
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #8 on: October 19, 2016, 07:41:18 AM »

Double digit Clinton leads in the past week:

NBC/WSJ: +11, +11
Monmouth: +12
Boston Globe/SurveyUSA: +10
PRRI: +15

Almost double-digit leads:

NBC/WSJ: +9
Bloomberg: +9
CBS/NYT: +9
GWU/Battleground: +8

I think it's pretty clear that the ABC poll was the outlier.

I'm far from an unskewer but they had D 33, I 31, R 31 in their sample, which imo was way too conservative.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #9 on: October 19, 2016, 08:37:58 AM »

Looks like her lead may be snowballing into the double digits.
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #10 on: October 19, 2016, 09:09:31 AM »

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=43152229-1c55-4feb-8b4d-50aeb48c36b1

Clinton 46
Trump 36
Johnson 5
Stein 2

On Eve of Final Debate, Clinton 10 Atop Trump Nationwide in Take-No-Prisoners Campaign;
She Leads by 44 Points Among Urban Women ... He Leads by 9 Points Among Rural Women:

With Americans across the country already voting, 1 day till the 3rd Presidential debate and 20 days until votes are counted, Democrat Hillary Clinton defeats Republican Donald Trump 46% to 36% in an election today, 10/18/16. Libertarian Gary Johnson gets 5%. Green Party candidate Jill Stein gets 2%.

In research conducted exclusively for the Boston Globe and Colby College of Waterville, Maine, SurveyUSA finds:

* Trump leads by 6 points among white voters.
* Clinton leads by 79 points among African American voters.
* Clinton leads by 35 points among Hispanic voters.

* Trump leads by 15 points in rural America.
* Clinton leads by 8 points in suburban America.
* Clinton leads by 34 points in urban America.

Among all women, Clinton leads by 13 points. That breaks down this way:

* Trump leads by 9 points among rural women.
* Clinton leads by 12 points among suburban women.
* Clinton leads by 44 points among urban women.

Seniors split, 41% for Clinton, 40% for Trump. Clinton leads by 30 points among the youngest voters. Independents split, 34% for Trump, 34% for Clinton. Moderates break for Clinton 45% to 33%. The most affluent voters break narrowly for Trump. Clinton leads 2:1 among the least affluent voters.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #11 on: October 19, 2016, 09:10:26 AM »

Wow.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #12 on: October 19, 2016, 09:12:29 AM »

JEEZ LOUISE AND A BOTTLE OF CHEESE!!!

Terrible news for Mr. Trump!!!
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #13 on: October 19, 2016, 09:13:46 AM »

Clinton will win, 51-42-7.  Calling it now.
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #14 on: October 19, 2016, 09:13:51 AM »

Double digits keep coming.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #15 on: October 19, 2016, 09:14:13 AM »

Already a thread for this going at https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=248934.0
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Maxwell
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« Reply #16 on: October 19, 2016, 09:14:28 AM »

Only leading by 6 among white people is pretty devastating for The Donald.
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #17 on: October 19, 2016, 09:16:54 AM »


You're right...this is Survey USA partnered with Boston Globe. I hate when these outfits team up and then release them separately..makes me think this was a different poll :-)
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #18 on: October 19, 2016, 09:18:07 AM »


You're right...this is Survey USA partnered with Boston Globe. I hate when these outfits team up and then release them separately..makes me think this was a different poll :-)

If counting it twice serves as a decent counter-measure to fascism then I'll have to allow it. 
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #19 on: October 19, 2016, 09:18:53 AM »

More double digits!
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #20 on: October 19, 2016, 09:33:50 AM »


You're right...this is Survey USA partnered with Boston Globe. I hate when these outfits team up and then release them separately..makes me think this was a different poll :-)

I think the merged thread should say SurveyUSA to give it credibility. I ignored the no name Colby College thread.
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #21 on: October 19, 2016, 09:49:36 AM »

Interesting cross-tabs...Survey USA has Hispanics as a greater share (13%) of the electorate than African Americans (12%). If that's the case, watch out Arizona and Texas.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #22 on: October 19, 2016, 09:58:41 AM »

If my college used tuition money to pay for polls I would be very upset.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #23 on: October 19, 2016, 10:10:22 AM »

Dems
Clinton 88%
Trump 5%
Stein 1%
Johnson 0%

GOP
Trump 75%
Clinton 13%
Johnson 2%
Stein 1%

Indies
Clinton 34%
Trump 34%
Johnson 12%
Stein 4%

Midwest: Clinton +19
Northeast: Clinton +6
South: Trump +1
West: Clinton +23
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #24 on: October 19, 2016, 10:14:20 AM »

I think this is the third poll in a row with regional crosstabs showing Trump actually stronger in the Northeast than both the Midwest and West.  The other two were both Morning Consult polls.  Most pollsters don't give regional crosstabs like that, but MC regularly does.
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